Who will win the 2025 Oscar for Best Actress?
Started
Jan 23, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 02, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Closed Mar 02, 2025 08:01AM UTC
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The 97th Academy Awards, known as the Oscars, are scheduled for 2 March 2025 (Oscars, NPR). In the event of a tie, the film with the higher box office total through and including 2 March 2025 according to Box Office Mojo would be deemed the winner.
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The question closed "Mikey Madison (Anora)" with a closing date of 2 March 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Cynthia Erivo (Wicked) | 1% | |
| Karla Sofía Gascón (Emilia Pérez) | 1% | |
| Mikey Madison (Anora) | 25% | |
| Demi Moore (The Substance) | 65% | |
| Fernanda Torres (I'm Still Here) | 8% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 35 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 127 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 90 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 292 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
