Will the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario (the Conservatives) win more than 79 seats in the 2025 Ontario general election?
Closed Feb 27, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Lieutenant Governor Edith Dumont, at the request of Ontario Premier Doug Ford, dissolved the Legislative Assembly of Ontario to make way for early elections, scheduled for 27 February 2025 (CBC). Ford said that he wants a strong mandate for himself and the Conservatives to fight President Trump's tariff threats against Canada (BBC, Guardian). As of the dissolution, there were 79 Conservatives in the 124-member body (Toronto Star).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 27 February 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 83% | |
| No | 17% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 61 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 127 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 110 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 292 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
