Will the US invoke "Title 42" to authorize the expulsions of immigrants from the US due to disease concerns before 21 June 2025?

Started Mar 21, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 21, 2025 07:01AM UTC

Title 42 was invoked during the first Trump administration during the COVID-19 pandemic, but that came to an end in 2023 (CBS News, AP, Federal Register 24 March 2020). Judicial intervention is immaterial. The question will close upon the publication of the invocation, not necessarily the first actual expulsion.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 21 June 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 2%
No 98%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 43
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 148
Number of Forecasts 148
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 396
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.357915
2.
-0.346679
3.
-0.346679
4.
-0.341842
5.
-0.255089

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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