Before 1 January 2018, will SpaceX successfully relaunch an orbital-class booster within 24 hours of booster landing?

Started Apr 14, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC
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On 30 March 2017, SpaceX succesfully launched the first recycled orbital-class booster, marking the first time in the history of spaceflight that a single booster has been used on two separate missions (CNN, Ars Technica). Elon Musk has stated that his next goal is to turn the booster around for relaunch in 24 hours, a milestone he said could be accomplished before the end of the year (Reuters). A relaunch that occurs within 24 hours of the booster landing, where the second stage of the rocket in the relaunch reaches low Earth orbit, will resolve this question as "Yes", regardless of whether the orbital-class booster lands after the second launch. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
SpaceX did not successfully relaunch an orbital-class booster within 24 hours of booster landing. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.00%
No 99.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 296
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 708
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.006416
2.
-0.006416
3.
-0.006378
4.
-0.006378
5.
-0.006378

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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