Started Jul 21, 2017 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jul 20, 2018 06:59AM UTC

The Mack Institute asks

Between 21 July 2017 and 20 July 2018, will any major automaker announce a date after which they will sell only electric or hybrid vehicles?

For the purposes of this question, "major automakers" are any of the car brands or whole car companies identified in this infographic. Volvo recently announced that it would sell only all-electric and hybrid-electric vehicles after 2019, making it the first traditional automaker to set a date for phasing out vehicles powered solely by the internal combustion engine (The Verge, Reuters). Announcements that only apply to a certain market segment or geographic location will not count.

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Name Probability
Yes 55%

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