Started Aug 16, 2017 04:00PM UTC   •   Closed Sep 30, 2017 05:00PM UTC

HFC asks

How much crude oil will Libya produce in September 2017?

Challenges

This question will be resolved using oil production data measured in thousands of barrels per day (tb/d) reported for Libya for September in the "OPEC Crude Oil Production Based on Secondary Sources" table of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (OPEC), expected to be published on 11 October 2017. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.


In September 2017 Libya produced 923 tb/d of crude oil (OPEC). This question closed as "Less than 967.33," with an end date of 30 September 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 967.33 53%
Between 967.33 and 1093.53, inclusive 47%
More than 1093.53 but less than 1202.22 0%
Between 1202.22 and 1328.41, inclusive 0%
More than 1328.41 0%

No. of
Forecasters

131

Forecast
Count

480

Crowd Brier Score

0.3051


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.369
3.
-0.346
4.
-0.293
5.
-0.292

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