HFC asks

What will be the approval rating for the Russian government in September 2017?

Started Sep 06, 2017 04:30PM UTC
Closed Sep 19, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Challenges

This question will be resolved using data reported by the Levada Center. Data can be accessed at Levada Indicators by referencing the month of interest in the "Do you approve the activities of the Russian Government?" table. Question will be resolved when data is first released.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 49 8%
49 - 50, inclusive 22%
More than 50 70%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 158
Average for questions older than 6 months: 193
Number of Forecasts 274
Average for questions older than 6 months: 556
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.183865
2.
-0.156535
3.
-0.154996
4.
-0.154996
5.
-0.145765

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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