The Mack Institute asks
Before 1 July 2018, will Waymo launch a driverless transportation service open to the public?
Started
Nov 17, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 13, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 13, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Alphabet's self-driving car company, Waymo, recently announced the testing of its driverless vehicles in Arizona and the planned launch of a driverless transportation service (Medium, Wired, Bloomberg, Ars Technica). A service offered to participants in Waymo's Early Rider Program (Waymo) will count. The presence of a safety operator inside the vehicles does not impact the resolution of this question, as long as that operator is not in the driver's seat.
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Waymo has launched a driverless transportation service open to the public via the Early Rider program (Fortune, Tech Crunch. This question closed as "yes" with an end date of 13 March 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Waymo has launched a driverless transportation service open to the public via the Early Rider program (Fortune, Tech Crunch. This question closed as "yes" with an end date of 13 March 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Question clarification
Issued on 12/04/17 04:07pm
Posted 4 December 2017: The Early Rider Program in its current capacity does not constitute "a driver-less transportation service open to the public" and is not considered sufficient for resolution.
Posted 4 December 2017: The Early Rider Program in its current capacity does not constitute "a driver-less transportation service open to the public" and is not considered sufficient for resolution.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 15.00% | |
No | 85.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 370 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 547 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |