The Economist asks
Between 21 November 2017 and 30 September 2018, how will S&P next adjust the United Kingdom's long-term issuer credit rating?
Started
Nov 21, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Revisions to the "outlook" will not suffice. S&P and Fitch downgraded the United Kingdom after the 2016 Brexit vote, and Moody's did the same in September 2017. While S&P recently reaffirmed its AA rating, it cautioned that the risk of a disorderly Brexit may lead to a further downgrade (Reuters, Financial Times).
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This question closed as "no adjustment" with an end date of 1 October 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question closed as "no adjustment" with an end date of 1 October 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Up | 0% | |
Down | 11% | |
No Adjustment | 89% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 615 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1117 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |