The Economist asks
Will there be a new king of Saudi Arabia before 1 October 2018?
Started
Nov 21, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
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After the appointment of Mohammed bin Salman as Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, recent developments have raised questions concerning the future of the kingdom.
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This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 October 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 October 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman | 4% | |
Yes, someone else | 0% | |
No | 96% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 836 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1911 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |