SCOTUSblog asks

In Janus v. American Federation of State, County, and Municipal Employees, Council 31, will the Supreme Court rule that mandatory payment of any agency fees by non-union government employees is unconstitutional?

Started Jan 24, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 27, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Tags

Mark Janus, an Illinois government employee, is asking the Supreme Court to overrule Abood v. Detroit Board of Education (SCOTUS Blog, Justia US Law, The Atlantic, The Supreme Court of the United States). Under Abood, unions are allowed to collect agency fees fron non-union employees to cover costs related to collective-bargaining. The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its current term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
The Supreme Court ruled that mandatory payment of any agency fees by non-union government employees was unconstitutional. This question closed as "yes" with an end date of 27 June 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 85.00%
No 15.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 241
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 361
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.072
2.
-0.072
3.
-0.072
4.
-0.072
5.
-0.07

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username