Before 1 January 2020, will any change be made to the Russian Constitution that would allow Vladimir Putin to remain in a leadership role after his current term?

Started Apr 11, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

The Russian Constitution limits presidents to two consecutive terms, but there has been speculation that future constitutional changes could allow Putin to remain in power past 2024 (Associated Press, NY Times). Examples of constitutional changes that could count include, but are not limited to, revised term limits or the creation of a new position or government body. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.


This question closed as "No" with an end date of 1 January 2020.  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 469
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 1155
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.127179
2.
-0.127056
3.
-0.127056
4.
-0.127056
5.
-0.126245

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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