The Mack Institute and 
The Economist ask
As of 1 July 2018, how many manufacturers will hold permits for driverless testing of autonomous vehicles in California?
Started
Apr 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Tags
For years, California has issued permits for testing of autonomous vehicles, provided that drivers remain in the car (California DMV, California DMV, The Economist). On 2 April 2018, the California DMV was authorized to approve permits for manufacturer's driverless testing of autonomous vehicles (California DMV, San Francisco Chronicle).
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Resolution Notes
No manufacturers hold permits for driverless testing of autonomous vehicles in California. This question closed as "0 (zero)" with an end date of 1 July 2018.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 93% | |
| Between 1 and 3, inclusive | 7% | |
| Between 4 and 6, inclusive | 0% | |
| Between 7 and 9, inclusive | 0% | |
| 10 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 154 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 312 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
