The Economist asks

Before 1 April 2019, how many countries will formally progress in the NATO accession process?

Started Apr 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Formal progression in the NATO accession process consists of a country: reaching a new stage of any of the seven stages listed under the accession process section (NATO); receiving an invitation to participate in a Membership Action Plan (NATO); or entering into Intensified Dialogue (Project Gutenberg). Countries will only be counted once. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.

Macedonia was the only country to formally progress in the NATO accession process. This question closed as "1" with an end date of 1 April 2019. 

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
0 3%
1 96%
2 1%
3 0%
4 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 305
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 779
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.797507
2.
-0.759882
3.
-0.754722
4.
-0.671681

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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