Will formal negotiations between Russia and the United States on a new nuclear arms control treaty or an extension/modification of an existing nuclear arms control treaty begin before 1 October 2019?
Started
Apr 18, 2018 05:05PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
The New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START) between Russia and the United States entered into force on 5 February 2011, and is scheduled to remain in force for ten years. There is an option to extend it for up to five years upon the agreement of both parties, or a new deal could be negotiated (Reuters, Federation of American Scientists, The Washington Post).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2019.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.00% | |
| No | 99.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 519 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1261 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
