Before 1 July 2018, will the European Council announce the opening of formal membership negotiations with any candidate countries or designate any new country as an official candidate for membership?

Started May 09, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
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This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.00%
No 99.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 62
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188
Number of Forecasts 105
Average for questions older than 6 months: 544
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.000112
2.
-0.000112
3.
-0.000112
4.
-0.000112
5.
-0.000112

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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