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[Old Thread] Are there any forecasting tips, tricks, and experiences you would like to share and/or discuss with your fellow forecasters? [Old 2020-21 Thread]

Closing Jul 04, 2026 07:01AM UTC · 581 · 581

[Old Thread 2023-24] Are there any forecasting tips, tricks, and experiences you would like to share and/or discuss with your fellow forecasters? [Old 2022 Thread]

Closing Jul 04, 2026 07:01AM UTC · 195 · 195

[Old Thread 2024-25] Are there any forecasting tips, tricks, and experiences you would like to share and/or discuss with your fellow forecasters?

Closing Jul 04, 2026 07:01AM UTC · 275 · 275

Oiram18 asks:

In Musk v. Altman, will a federal court issue any relief (monetary and/or injunctive) for Musk against any named defendant related to the nonprofit/for-profit nature of OpenAI before 4 April 2026?

Closing Apr 04, 2026 07:01AM UTC · 46 · 109

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 25 February 2026, will the US accuse Russia of having engaged a US-registered commercial satellite orbiting Earth with a Direct-Ascent Anti-Satellite (DA-ASAT) missile?

Closing Feb 25, 2026 08:01AM UTC · 105 · 235

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What percentage of global central bank allocated currency reserves be in US dollars in the fourth quarter of 2026?

Closing Jan 01, 2027 08:01AM UTC · 43 · 232

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the effective US tariff rate for all imports for consumption between April 2025 and March 2026?

Closing Apr 01, 2026 07:01AM UTC · 43 · 198

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will US federal government spending total less than $6.25 trillion in FY2027 (1 October 2026 to 30 September 2027)?

Closing Oct 01, 2027 07:01AM UTC · 161 · 253

erikbays asks:

Before 3 January 2027, will federal legislation eliminating the US Department of Education become law?

Closing Jan 04, 2027 08:01AM UTC · 84 · 303

salinas asks:

What will be the monthly average US trade deficit in the first quarter of 2026?

Closing Apr 01, 2026 07:01AM UTC · 35 · 151

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[Old Thread] Are there any forecasting tips, tricks, and experiences you would like to share and/or discuss with your fellow forecasters? [Old 2020-21 Thread]

[Old Thread 2023-24] Are there any forecasting tips, tricks, and experiences you would like to share and/or discuss with your fellow forecasters? [Old 2022 Thread]

[Old Thread 2024-25] Are there any forecasting tips, tricks, and experiences you would like to share and/or discuss with your fellow forecasters?

In Musk v. Altman, will a federal court issue any relief (monetary and/or injunctive) for Musk against any named defendant related to the nonprofit/for-profit nature of OpenAI before 4 April 2026?

Before 25 February 2026, will the US accuse Russia of having engaged a US-registered commercial satellite orbiting Earth with a Direct-Ascent Anti-Satellite (DA-ASAT) missile?

What percentage of global central bank allocated currency reserves be in US dollars in the fourth quarter of 2026?

What will be the effective US tariff rate for all imports for consumption between April 2025 and March 2026?

Will US federal government spending total less than $6.25 trillion in FY2027 (1 October 2026 to 30 September 2027)?

Before 3 January 2027, will federal legislation eliminating the US Department of Education become law?

What will be the monthly average US trade deficit in the first quarter of 2026?

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