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belikewater asks:

When will the 7-day moving average of daily cases of COVID-19 in the US reported to the CDC next reach or exceed 200,000?

6 Forecasters • 6 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Before 1 November 2021
41%
Between 1 November 2021 and 31 December 2021
15%
Between 1 January 2022 and 28 February 2022
12%
Between 1 March 2022 and 30 April 2022
0%
Not before 1 May 2022
32%

What will be the 7-day average number of new cases of COVID-19 in Louisiana for the week ending 20 October 2021?

34 Forecasters • 54 Forecasts
Started Sep 10, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 20, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 1,500
34%
Between 1,500 and 3,000, inclusive
45%
More than 3,000 but fewer than 4,500
19%
Between 4,500 and 6,000, inclusive
2%
More than 6,000 but fewer than 7,500
0%
7,500 or more
0%

Will the rate of new daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 per 100k people in Massachusetts be higher on 19 October 2021 than it was on 7 September 2021?

38 Forecasters • 91 Forecasts
Started Sep 08, 2021 04:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 19, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Yes, having first fallen below 18.5 new cases per 100k people in Massachusetts
8%
Yes, but without having first fallen below 18.5 new cases per 100k people in Massachusetts
43%
No, having first risen above 28.5 new cases per 100k people in Massachusetts
49%
No, but without having first risen above 28.5 new cases per 100k people in Massachusetts
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will happen next to the United Arab Emirate's rolling 7-day average of confirmed cases of COVID-19?

54 Forecasters • 116 Forecasts
Started Aug 31, 2021 07:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 12, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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The 7-day average will reach 1,500 or higher
16%
The 7-day average will reach 500 or lower
63%
Neither will occur before 12 November 2021
21%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will the 14-day average of COVID-19 hospitalized patients in California next reach or exceed 12,000?

52 Forecasters • 200 Forecasts
Started Aug 06, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Before 15 September 2021
0%
Between 15 September 2021 and 31 October 2021
1%
Between 1 November 2021 and 15 December 2021
7%
Between 16 December 2021 and 31 January 2022
12%
Not before 1 February 2022
80%
Private Superforecasting Workshop and belikewater ask:

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant other than Delta next represent more than 70.0% of total COVID-19 cases in the US?

102 Forecasters • 214 Forecasts
Started Aug 06, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 12, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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A two-week period ending 25 September 2021 or earlier
0%
A two-week period ending between 9 October 2021 and 20 November 2021
0%
A two-week period ending between 4 December 2021 and 15 January 2022
6%
A two-week period ending between 29 January 2022 and 12 March 2022
16%
Not before 12 March 2022
78%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many fatal COVID-19 vaccine breakthrough cases will be reported to the CDC as of 10 January 2022?

55 Forecasters • 152 Forecasts
Started Aug 06, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 10, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 6,000
29%
Between 6,000 and 12,000, inclusive
55%
More than 12,000 but fewer than 18,000
16%
Between 18,000 and 24,000, inclusive
0%
More than 24,000 but fewer than 30,000
0%
30,000 or more
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) next screen fewer than 1.3 million travelers per day for three consecutive days?

66 Forecasters • 131 Forecasts
Started Jul 23, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Before 1 October 2021
0%
Between 1 October 2021 and 30 November 2021
0%
Between 1 December 2021 and 31 January 2022
0%
Between 1 February 2022 and 31 March 2022
1%
Not before 1 April 2022
99%
Tim Harford asks:

When will the 7-day average of new COVID-19 cases in the UK next fall below 15,000?

111 Forecasters • 610 Forecasts
Started Jul 21, 2021 02:27PM UTC
Closing Dec 18, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Before 11 September 2021
0%
Between 11 September 2021 and 29 October 2021
10%
Between 30 October 2021 and 17 December 2021
37%
Not before 18 December 2021
53%
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