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Adam Grant asks:

Which country will win the 2020 Olympic gold medal in women's football (soccer)?

52 Forecasters • 66 Forecasts
Started Jun 11, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 06, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Great Britain
5%
Japan
5%
The Netherlands
13%
United States
64%
Another country
13%
No gold medal will be awarded for this event
0%
Adam Grant asks:

Will Great Britain win more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics than the People's Republic of China?

5%

Chance
76 Forecasters • 96 Forecasts
Started Jun 11, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 08, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Adam Grant asks:

Which country will win the 2020 Olympic gold medal in men’s synchronized 3-meter springboard diving?

26 Forecasters • 36 Forecasts
Started Jun 11, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 28, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
China
63%
Germany
2%
Great Britain
5%
Russia (Russian Olympic Committee)
5%
Another country
25%
No gold medal will be awarded for this event
0%
Adam Grant asks:

Before 1 September 2021, will Justice Stephen Breyer announce his retirement from the US Supreme Court?

7%

Chance
111 Forecasters • 185 Forecasts
Started May 14, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Adam Grant asks:

What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 13 August 2021, according to FiveThirtyEight?

139 Forecasters • 332 Forecasts
Started May 14, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 13, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 45.0%
0%
Between 45.0% and 50.0%, inclusive
15%
Higher than 50.0% but lower than 55.0%
82%
55.0% or higher
3%
Adam Grant asks:

Which NHL team will win the 2021 Stanley Cup Final?

115 Forecasters • 590 Forecasts
Started Apr 09, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 09, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Carolina Hurricanes
0%
Colorado Avalanche
0%
Tampa Bay Lightning
36%
Toronto Maple Leafs
0%
Vegas Golden Knights
25%
Another team or no team will win the 2021 Stanley Cup Final
39%
Adam Grant and Tim Harford ask:

What will be Saudi Arabia's crude oil production for July 2021, according to OPEC?

134 Forecasters • 357 Forecasts
Started Apr 09, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 8,000 tb/d
0%
Between 8,000 tb/d and 8,500 tb/d, inclusive
0%
More than 8,500 tb/d but less than 9,000 tb/d
11%
Between 9,000 tb/d and 9,500 tb/d, inclusive
74%
More than 9,500 tb/d
15%
Adam Grant and 024_andrew and ask:

Will Scott Morrison cease to be prime minister of Australia before 1 September 2021?

1%

Chance
162 Forecasters • 313 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Adam Grant asks:

Will legislation raising the US federal minimum wage become law before 20 August 2021?

1%

Chance
217 Forecasters • 412 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 20, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Adam Grant and Tim Harford ask:

How many total confirmed cases of COVID-19 will the World Health Organization (WHO) report for Brazil as of 31 July 2021?

266 Forecasters • 1062 Forecasts
Started Mar 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 31, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 14.5 million
0%
Between 14.5 million and 16.0 million, inclusive
0%
More than 16.0 million but fewer than 17.5 million
0%
Between 17.5 million and 19.0 million, inclusive
3%
More than 19.0 million
97%
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