Toggle navigation
Blog
Challenges
Sign In
Sign Up
Challenges
Questions
Filters
Status
Active
Coming Soon
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Type
all
All
Forecasting Questions
Discussion Questions
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Predictions
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Questions I'm Following
Questions I've Forecasted
Questions I've Not Forecasted
Challenges
Select All
Not Part of a Challenge
(3)
only
2022 US Midterm Electi... (36)
only
Climate Change and the... (28)
only
Dubai Future Experts C... (7)
only
Foxes Ask (34)
only
Inflation Challenge (42)
only
In the News 2022 (162)
only
In the News 2023 (24)
only
Range: A GJ Open Forec... (25)
only
Russia-Ukraine Conflict (26)
only
Superforecasting® Work... (33)
only
The Economist: The Wor... (9)
only
The Good Question Chal... (2)
only
The Sky News Challenge (1)
only
Wharton Future of Work... (4)
only
Show less
Tags
Select All
Business (71)
only
US Politics (47)
only
Elections and Referenda (40)
only
Leader Entry/Exit (39)
only
Security and Conflict (36)
only
Non-US Politics (35)
only
Society (35)
only
Technology (35)
only
Economic Indicators (30)
only
Foreign Policy (29)
only
US Policy (24)
only
Finance (23)
only
Economic Policy (15)
only
Environment (10)
only
Health (10)
only
Entertainment (9)
only
Sports (8)
only
Show more
DippySkippy
asks:
Before 8 November 2022, will American basketball player Brittney Griner leave Russia?
15%
Chance
39 Forecasters • 55 Forecasts
Started
Aug 12, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 08, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will the annual percent change in the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index be at or below 3.0% by December 2022?
8%
Chance
30 Forecasters • 45 Forecasts
Started
Aug 05, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will be the total passenger throughput at airports in China in December 2022?
16 Forecasters • 25 Forecasts
Started
Aug 05, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 20 million
3%
Between 20 million and 40 million, inclusive
36%
More than 40 million but fewer than 60 million
35%
Between 60 million and 80 million, inclusive
24%
More than 80 million but fewer than 100 million
2%
100 million or more
0%
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of Taiwan and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 1 January 2023?
4%
Chance
78 Forecasters • 108 Forecasts
Started
Aug 05, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Will Iraq's parliament elect a new President of the Republic before 6 November 2022?
6%
Chance
19 Forecasters • 25 Forecasts
Started
Aug 05, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 06, 2022 08:01AM UTC
At close of business on 14 December 2022, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 2 November 2022?
33 Forecasters • 65 Forecasts
Started
Jul 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 14, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower
0%
Same
36%
Higher
64%
Will federal legislation providing for the establishment of a US interagency committee on global catastrophic risk become law before 1 January 2023?
28%
Chance
19 Forecasters • 34 Forecasts
Started
Jul 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Will Ranil Wickremesinghe cease to be the president of Sri Lanka before 29 December 2022?
14%
Chance
25 Forecasters • 47 Forecasts
Started
Jul 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 29, 2022 08:01AM UTC
How much coal will the US export in the fourth quarter of 2022, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA)?
14 Forecasters • 30 Forecasts
Started
Jul 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 20,000 tons
0%
Between 20,000 tons and 22,000 tons, inclusive
42%
More than 22,000 tons but less than 24,000 tons
44%
Between 24,000 tons and 26,000 tons, inclusive
14%
More than 26,000 tons
0%
404_NOT_FOUND
asks:
To which political party will the next prime minister of Italy belong after the 2022 general election?
25 Forecasters • 45 Forecasts
Started
Jul 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 25, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Brothers of Italy (Fratelli d'Italia)
65%
Democratic Party (Partito Democratico)
35%
Five Star Movement (Movimento 5 Stelle)
0%
Forward Italy (Forza Italia)
0%
League (Lega)
0%
None of the above
0%
1
2
3
4
5
…
Next ›
Last »
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel