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asks:

When will the Scottish government officially request discussions on or agreement to a Section 30 order from the UK government that would enable the Scottish government to call a new independence referendum?

130 Forecasters • 288 Forecasts
Started Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Before 1 January 2022
0%
Between 1 January 2022 and 30 June 2022
9%
Between 1 July 2022 and 31 December 2022
26%
Not before 1 January 2023
65%
asks:

Will Sir Keir Starmer face a formal challenge for the leadership of the Labour Party before 4 April 2022?

1%

Chance
130 Forecasters • 271 Forecasts
Started Aug 20, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 04, 2022 07:01AM UTC
asks:

Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 1 February 2022?

1%

Chance
121 Forecasters • 363 Forecasts
Started Aug 20, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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