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asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will the Conservative Party in the United Kingdom elect a new leader?

150 Forecasters • 524 Forecasts
Started Feb 04, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, Michael Gove
0%
Yes, Jeremy Hunt
2%
Yes, Sajid Javid
0%
Yes, Priti Patel
0%
Yes, Dominic Raab
0%
Yes, Rishi Sunak
1%
Yes, Liz Truss
2%
Yes, Tom Tugendhat
0%
Yes, Nadhim Zahawi
0%
Yes, someone else
2%
No
93%
asks:

When will the Scottish government officially request discussions on or agreement to a Section 30 order from the UK government that would enable the Scottish government to call a new independence referendum?

183 Forecasters • 611 Forecasts
Started Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 January 2022
0%
Between 1 January 2022 and 30 June 2022
0%
Between 1 July 2022 and 31 December 2022
11%
Not before 1 January 2023
89%
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