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The Economist
asks:
As of 30 September 2022, will the Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) rank higher than all other German parties in polling of national parliament voting intention, according to Politico?
37%
Chance
70 Forecasters • 163 Forecasts
Started
Mar 25, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
Will a Boeing Starliner spacecraft successfully dock with the International Space Station (ISS) before 15 June 2022?
72%
Chance
86 Forecasters • 219 Forecasts
Started
Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 15, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
How many total Southwest Land Border Encounters will be reported in the US from April 2022 through June 2022 by US Customs and Border Protection (CBP)?
59 Forecasters • 206 Forecasts
Started
Feb 18, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 250,000
0%
Between 250,000 and 400,000, inclusive
0%
More than 400,000 but fewer than 550,000
0%
Between 550,000 and 700,000, inclusive
48%
More than 700,000
52%
The Economist
asks:
Who will win the next Kenyan presidential election?
70 Forecasters • 178 Forecasts
Started
Feb 18, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Aug 09, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Raila Odinga
60%
William Ruto
40%
Someone else
0%
The Economist
asks:
What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US core Consumer Price Index for August 2022?
139 Forecasters • 393 Forecasts
Started
Feb 11, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 2.5%
0%
Between 2.5% and 4.0%, inclusive
0%
More than 4.0% but less than 5.5%
23%
Between 5.5% and 7.0%, inclusive
58%
More than 7.0%
19%
The Economist
asks:
What will be the closing price per barrel for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil on 26 August 2022, according to Bloomberg?
230 Forecasters • 945 Forecasts
Started
Jan 21, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Aug 26, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than $55.00
0%
Between $55.00 and $70.00, inclusive
0%
More than $70.00 but less than $85.00
2%
Between $85.00 and $100.00, inclusive
31%
More than $100.00 but less than $115.00
45%
$115.00 or more
22%
The Economist
asks:
Will the powers of the government of Myanmar cease to be held by the military before 1 October 2022?
3%
Chance
207 Forecasters • 428 Forecasts
Started
Jan 07, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
Will total fire activity in the Amazon for January through September 2022 exceed the total for January through September 2021?
77%
Chance
160 Forecasters • 318 Forecasts
Started
Jan 07, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
What will be the FAO Food Price Index for June 2022?
171 Forecasters • 694 Forecasts
Started
Jan 07, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 120.0
0%
Between 120.0 and 130.0, inclusive
0%
More than 130.0 but less than 140.0
0%
Between 140.0 and 150.0, inclusive
3%
More than 150.0
97%
The Economist
asks:
Before 1 September 2022, will the World Trade Organization (WTO) officially agree to grant waivers for intellectual property protections for COVID-19 vaccine technology?
10%
Chance
211 Forecasters • 391 Forecasts
Started
Dec 30, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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