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How many people in the US will have received one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine as of 30 April 2021, according to the CDC?

93 Forecasters • 367 Forecasts
Started Apr 07, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 30, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 130,000,000
0%
Between 130,000,000 and 140,000,000, inclusive
0%
More than 140,000,000 but fewer than 150,000,000
80%
Between 150,000,000 and 160,000,000, inclusive
20%
More than 160,000,000 but fewer than 170,000,000
0%
Between 170,000,000 and 180,000,000, inclusive
0%
More than 180,000,000
0%

How many people will have been fully vaccinated against COVID-19 in the US as of 30 April 2021, according to the CDC?

88 Forecasters • 251 Forecasts
Started Apr 07, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 30, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 85,000,000
0%
Between 85,000,000 and 95,000,000, inclusive
0%
More than 95,000,000 but fewer than 105,000,000
60%
Between 105,000,000 and 115,000,000, inclusive
40%
More than 115,000,000 but fewer than 125,000,000
0%
Between 125,000,000 and 135,000,000, inclusive
0%
More than 135,000,000
0%

How many countries will have 100,000 or more deaths attributed to COVID-19 as of 30 April 2021?

286 Forecasters • 1678 Forecasts
Started Oct 23, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 30, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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3
0%
4
0%
5 or 6
0%
7 or 8
100%
9 or more
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will any 2020 California election results be altered by a cyberattack against a voting system?

0%

Chance
184 Forecasters • 393 Forecasts
Started Sep 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Before 1 May 2021, will Mahmoud Abbas cease to be president of the Palestinian Authority?

0%

Chance
87 Forecasters • 297 Forecasts
Started Nov 06, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

How many US adult and pediatric hospital admissions with confirmed COVID-19 cases will there be for the week ending 1 May 2021?

44 Forecasters • 107 Forecasts
Started Apr 07, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 15,000
0%
Between 15,000 and 25,000, inclusive
0%
More than 25,000 but fewer than 35,000
11%
Between 35,000 and 45,000, inclusive
89%
More than 45,000 but fewer than 55,000
0%
Between 55,000 and 65,000, inclusive
0%
More than 65,000 but fewer than 75,000
0%
Between 75,000 and 85,000, inclusive
0%
More than 85,000
0%

How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the US will be reported for the week ending 1 May 2021?

63 Forecasters • 284 Forecasts
Started Apr 07, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 150,000
0%
Between 150,000 and 250,000, inclusive
0%
More than 250,000 but fewer than 350,000
34%
Between 350,000 and 450,000, inclusive
66%
More than 450,000 but fewer than 550,000
0%
Between 550,000 and 650,000, inclusive
0%
More than 650,000 but fewer than 750,000
0%
Between 750,000 and 850,000, inclusive
0%
More than 850,000
0%

How many cases of COVID-19 will the state of Texas report for the month of April 2021?

113 Forecasters • 392 Forecasts
Started Mar 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 150,000
100%
Between 150,000 and 250,000, inclusive
0%
More than 250,000 but fewer than 350,000
0%
Between 350,000 and 450,000, inclusive
0%
More than 450,000 but fewer than 550,000
0%
550,000 or more
0%
Foxes Ask:

What will be the annual rate of housing starts for April 2021?

113 Forecasters • 633 Forecasts
Started Oct 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 1.0 million
0%
Between 1.0 million and 1.2 million, inclusive
0%
More than 1.2 million but less than 1.4 million
0%
Between 1.4 million and 1.6 million, inclusive
26%
More than 1.6 million
74%

How many deaths attributed to COVID-19 in the US will be reported for the week ending 1 May 2021?

69 Forecasters • 244 Forecasts
Started Apr 07, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 1,500
0%
Between 1,500 and 3,000, inclusive
0%
More than 3,000 but fewer than 4,500
10%
Between 4,500 and 6,000, inclusive
90%
More than 6,000 but fewer than 7,500
0%
Between 7,500 and 9,000 inclusive
0%
More than 9,000 but fewer than 10,500
0%
Between 10,500 and 12,000 inclusive
0%
More than 12,000
0%
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