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Econja2018 asks:

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 January 2022?

0%

Chance
206 Forecasters • 421 Forecasts
Started Feb 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Tim Harford asks:

Will US print book sales in 2021 exceed those in 2020?

82%

Chance
153 Forecasters • 493 Forecasts
Started May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Columbus asks:

Will US federal legislation implementing or authorizing a mandatory carbon pricing mechanism become law before 1 January 2022?

1%

Chance
75 Forecasters • 174 Forecasts
Started Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Tim Harford asks:

Will the US Truck Tonnage Index reach or exceed 120.0 before 1 January 2022?

3%

Chance
60 Forecasters • 190 Forecasts
Started Jun 25, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Will the US FDA approve the drug molnupiravir for use to treat COVID-19 before 1 October 2021?

1%

Chance
170 Forecasters • 539 Forecasts
Started Mar 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Will the US FDA approve a drug used to reverse the effects of Alzheimer's disease on the brain and/or approve a vaccine to prevent Alzheimer's disease as of 2035?

80%

Chance
173 Forecasters • 202 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Tim Harford asks:

Will the US civilian labor force participation rate reach or exceed 63.0% for any month in 2021?

1%

Chance
87 Forecasters • 239 Forecasts
Started May 28, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Will the United States report more deaths attributed to COVID-19 as of 31 December 2021 than will the European Union?

3%

Chance
157 Forecasters • 543 Forecasts
Started Jan 29, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen in 2021?

10%

Chance
107 Forecasters • 434 Forecasts
Started Jan 22, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
asks:

Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 1 February 2022?

10%

Chance
64 Forecasters • 99 Forecasts
Started Aug 20, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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