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Hanyfawwaz
and
David Epstein
ask:
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 January 2023?
3%
Chance
555 Forecasters • 1931 Forecasts
Started
Feb 26, 2022 05:30PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
and
David Epstein
ask:
Will US real GDP contract in both the third quarter (Q3) and fourth quarter (Q4) of 2022?
48%
Chance
96 Forecasters • 584 Forecasts
Started
Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will US federal legislation providing for new tax credits for the purchase of electric vehicles (EVs) become law before 19 August 2022?
0%
Chance
57 Forecasters • 209 Forecasts
Started
Feb 18, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Aug 19, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
Will total fire activity in the Amazon for January through September 2022 exceed the total for January through September 2021?
84%
Chance
176 Forecasters • 399 Forecasts
Started
Jan 07, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
erikbays
asks:
Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen before 1 April 2023?
78%
Chance
36 Forecasters • 100 Forecasts
Started
Jun 03, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
erikbays
asks:
Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of an ECOWAS member state in Western Africa before 1 April 2023?
33%
Chance
37 Forecasters • 110 Forecasts
Started
May 27, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Afghanistan in 2022?
45%
Chance
123 Forecasters • 392 Forecasts
Started
Jan 28, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Foxes Ask:
Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of a country in the Horn of Africa before 1 April 2023?
93%
Chance
44 Forecasters • 103 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
David Epstein
asks:
Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 20 August 2022?
0%
Chance
72 Forecasters • 301 Forecasts
Started
May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Aug 20, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will the total monetary value of victim losses reported by the FBI's Internet Crime Complaint Center (IC3) for 2022 reach or exceed $9.0 billion?
80%
Chance
28 Forecasters • 65 Forecasts
Started
May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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