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024_andrew and The Economist ask:

Before 18 September 2021, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?

0%

Chance
591 Forecasters • 1869 Forecasts
Started Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) and WBHumanoid ask:

Before 1 January 2022, will the United States Olympic Committee announce that it is boycotting the 2022 Winter Olympics?

2%

Chance
354 Forecasters • 1135 Forecasts
Started Aug 28, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Before 1 January 2022, will Amazon announce that it will spin off Amazon Web Services (AWS)?

1%

Chance
637 Forecasters • 1085 Forecasts
Started Oct 30, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:

Will the People's Republic of China and the EU sign a Comprehensive Agreement on Investment before 1 January 2022?

242 Forecasters • 1007 Forecasts
Started Dec 18, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and the EU will ratify it before 1 January 2022
0%
Yes, and the EU will not ratify it before 1 January 2022
17%
No
83%

Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. Senate expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used?

2%

Chance
181 Forecasters • 972 Forecasts
Started Jul 31, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

When will a new Dutch government be sworn in after the 2021 general election?

131 Forecasters • 884 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Between 18 March 2021 and 17 June 2021
0%
Between 18 June 2021 and 17 September 2021
0%
Not before 18 September 2021
100%
Private Superforecasting Workshop and erikbays ask:

Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. officially rejoin the JCPOA?

14%

Chance
146 Forecasters • 774 Forecasts
Started Feb 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Tim Harford asks:

What will Uber's end-of-day market capitalization be on 31 December 2021?

133 Forecasters • 755 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $75 billion
39%
Between $75 billion and $100 billion, inclusive
50%
More than $100 billion but less than $125 billion
11%
Between $125 billion and $150 billion, inclusive
0%
More than $150 billion
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will there be an act of domestic terrorism in the United States resulting in 10 or more fatalities before 1 January 2022?

10%

Chance
190 Forecasters • 726 Forecasts
Started Feb 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2021, will Jair Bolsonaro cease to be the president of Brazil?

0%

Chance
277 Forecasters • 719 Forecasts
Started Nov 27, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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