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Hanyfawwaz and David Epstein ask:

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 January 2023?

3%

Chance
555 Forecasters • 1930 Forecasts
Started Feb 26, 2022 05:30PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

What will be the closing price per barrel for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil on 26 August 2022, according to Bloomberg?

268 Forecasters • 1704 Forecasts
Started Jan 21, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 26, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $55.00
0%
Between $55.00 and $70.00, inclusive
0%
More than $70.00 but less than $85.00
1%
Between $85.00 and $100.00, inclusive
61%
More than $100.00 but less than $115.00
37%
$115.00 or more
1%

When will Russia and Ukraine sign or announce an agreement to end the current conflict in Ukraine?

263 Forecasters • 1253 Forecasts
Started Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 June 2022
0%
Between 1 June 2022 and 31 July 2022
0%
Between 1 August 2022 and 30 September 2022
0%
Between 1 October 2022 and 30 November 2022
5%
Not before 1 December 2022
95%
The Economist asks:

When will the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA) next screen 2.3 million or more travelers per day for three consecutive days?

208 Forecasters • 1246 Forecasts
Started Nov 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 January 2022
0%
Between 1 January 2022 and 31 March 2022
0%
Between 1 April 2022 and 30 June 2022
0%
Between 1 July 2022 and 30 September 2022
57%
Not before 1 October 2022
43%
The Economist asks:

What will be the market capitalization for the global cryptocurrency market on 11 August 2022, according to CoinMarketCap?

190 Forecasters • 1179 Forecasts
Started Nov 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 11, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $1.0 trillion
24%
Between $1.0 trillion and $2.0 trillion, inclusive
76%
More than $2.0 trillion but less than $3.0 trillion
0%
Between $3.0 trillion and $4.0 trillion, inclusive
0%
More than $4.0 trillion but less than $5.0 trillion
0%
$5.0 trillion or more
0%

What will be the closing yield for the US 10 yr Treasury on 30 December 2022?

212 Forecasters • 1155 Forecasts
Started Oct 01, 2021 04:00AM UTC
Closing Dec 30, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 0%
0%
Between 0% and 1%, inclusive
0%
Higher than 1% but lower than 2%
0%
Between 2% and 3%, inclusive
47%
Higher than 3% but lower than 4%
47%
4% or higher
6%
asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will the Conservative Party in the United Kingdom elect a new leader?

182 Forecasters • 1107 Forecasts
Started Feb 04, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, Michael Gove
0%
Yes, Jeremy Hunt
0%
Yes, Sajid Javid
0%
Yes, Priti Patel
0%
Yes, Dominic Raab
0%
Yes, Rishi Sunak
21%
Yes, Liz Truss
79%
Yes, Tom Tugendhat
0%
Yes, Nadhim Zahawi
0%
Yes, someone else
0%
No
0%

Before 1 January 2023, will the Nord Stream 2 pipeline begin delivering natural gas to Germany?

0%

Chance
300 Forecasters • 1085 Forecasts
Started Jan 21, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Chrisp, 024_andrew, belikewater, and David Epstein ask:

Which party will win control of the US Senate in the 2022 midterm elections?

426 Forecasters • 1072 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Democratic Party
37%
Republican Party
64%
The Economist and Private Superforecasting Workshop ask:

Will Amazon.com begin to accept any cryptocurrency for purchases on the US site before 1 October 2022?

1%

Chance
391 Forecasters • 1041 Forecasts
Started Jul 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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