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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will New Zealand's AgResearch report having a net annual financial surplus (pretax) in its 2020/21 fiscal year?

85%

Chance
33 Forecasters • 70 Forecasts
Started May 21, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

How can we all, as forecasters, disagree without being disagreeable?

Discuss
36 Commenters • 157 Comments
Started Nov 10, 2020 10:12PM UTC
Closed Jan 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC

Are there any forecasting tips, tricks, and experiences you would like to share and/or discuss with your fellow forecasters?

Discuss
76 Commenters • 547 Comments
Started Sep 04, 2020 07:01PM UTC
Closed Jun 30, 2021 06:59AM UTC
The Mack Institute asks:

How many Cybertrucks will Tesla deliver to customers in 2022?

178 Forecasters • 546 Forecasts
Started Aug 21, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 25,000
79%
Between 25,000 and 100,000, inclusive
20%
More than 100,000 but fewer than 175,000
0%
Between 175,000 and 250,000, inclusive
0%
More than 250,000
0%
The Mack Institute asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will Amazon or a subsidiary use a Zoox autonomous vehicle to deliver a package and/or for a public ride-hailing service?

148 Forecasters • 484 Forecasts
Started Aug 14, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only to deliver a package but not for a public ride-hailing service
24%
Yes, only a for public ride-hailing service but not to deliver a package
0%
Yes, both to deliver a package and for a public ride-hailing service
11%
No
46%
The Mack Institute asks:

Before 1 January 2023, how many major automakers will debut a passenger vehicle powered by a solid-state battery?

117 Forecasters • 404 Forecasts
Started Aug 14, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
0
0%
1 or 2
30%
3 or 4
15%
5 or 6
0%
7 or more
0%
The Mack Institute asks:

Between 1 January 2021 and 31 December 2022, will a firm or paid backup driver operating a self-driving vehicle face criminal charges in relation to an accident involving a self-driving vehicle in the U.S.?

125 Forecasters • 340 Forecasts
Started Jul 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, a firm
8%
Yes, a paid backup driver
2%
Yes, both
1%
No
75%
The Mack Institute asks:

How many new energy vehicles (NEVs) will be sold in China in 2021 and 2022 combined?

84 Forecasters • 408 Forecasts
Started Jul 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 2.2 million
0%
Between 2.2 million and 2.8 million, inclusive
0%
More than 2.8 million but fewer than 3.4 million
0%
Between 3.4 million and 4.0 million, inclusive
16%
More than 4.0 million
75%

What forecasting questions should we ask? What questions would you like to forecast on GJOpen?

Discuss
98 Commenters • 782 Comments
Started Jul 05, 2020 10:33PM UTC
Closed Feb 12, 2021 08:01AM UTC
The Mack Institute asks:

How many public DC fast charge electric vehicle charging stations will be available in the United States by 31 December 2022?

66 Forecasters • 290 Forecasts
Started Jul 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 5,300
0%
Between 5,300 and 5,700, inclusive
0%
More than 5,700 but fewer than 6,100
0%
Between 6,100 and 6,500, inclusive
0%
More than 6,500
100%
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