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Will climate change be a cause of human extinction by 2300?

0%

Chance
1 Forecaster • 1 Forecast
Started Jul 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed

Will climate change be a cause of human extinction by 2100?

0%

Chance
1 Forecaster • 1 Forecast
Started Jul 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed

How many cumulative confirmed cases of COVID-19 will be reported for China as of 30 June 2022, according to Our World in Data?

51 Forecasters • 375 Forecasts
Started Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 500,000
0%
Between 500,000 and 1.0 million, inclusive
0%
More than 1.0 million but fewer than 1.5 million
99%
Between 1.5 million and 2.5 million, inclusive
1%
More than 2.5 million but fewer than 4.0 million
0%
Between 4.0 million and 6.0 million, inclusive
0%
More than 6.0 million
0%
The Wharton Future of Work Conference asks:

What percentage of US job postings on LinkedIn will be for either "Hybrid" and/or "Remote" positions on 1 March 2023?

229 Forecasters • 265 Forecasts
Started Apr 06, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Lower than 10.0%
0%
Between 10.0% and 15.0%, inclusive
7%
Higher than 15.0% but lower than 20.0%
25%
Between 20.0% and 25.0%, inclusive
32%
Higher than 25.0%
36%

Will President Biden declare an end to the global chip shortage before 31 November 2022?

5%

Chance
46 Forecasters • 50 Forecasts
Started Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Will the European Central Bank (ECB) announce it will discontinue its monthly net asset purchases under its Asset purchase program (APP) before 10 June 2022?

80%

Chance
26 Forecasters • 36 Forecasts
Started Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 10, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Will the closing price of a barrel of Brent crude oil be higher on 3 June 2022 than it was on 8 March 2022?

15%

Chance
57 Forecasters • 72 Forecasts
Started Mar 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 03, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Before 1 May 2022, will the United States announce the imposition of sanctions directly on Russian President Vladimir Putin?

100%

Chance
27 Forecasters • 30 Forecasts
Started Feb 25, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Tim Harford asks:

As of 15 December 2021, what will be the price of the Dutch TTF Gas Futures contract for January 2022?

47 Forecasters • 260 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Less than €50.000
0%
Between €50.000 and €80.000, inclusive
0%
More than €80.000 but less than €110.000
24%
Between €110.000 and €140.000, inclusive
76%
More than €140.000
0%

What percentage of US retail sales will be made online in the fourth quarter of 2022?

65 Forecasters • 239 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 12.5%
0%
Between 12.5% and 13.5%, inclusive
25%
More than 13.5% but less than 14.5%
46%
Between 14.5% and 15.5%, inclusive
28%
More than 15.5%
1%
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