Toggle navigation
Blog
Challenges
Sign In
Sign Up
Challenges
Questions
Status
Active
Coming Soon
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Type
Forecasting Questions
All
Forecasting Questions
Discussion Questions
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Predictions
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Questions I'm Following
Questions I've Forecasted
Questions I've Not Forecasted
Challenges
Select All
Not Part of a Challenge
(3)
only
2022 US Midterm Electi... (34)
only
Coronavirus Outbreak (2)
only
Dubai Future Experts C... (7)
only
Foxes Ask (30)
only
Inflation Challenge (44)
only
In the News 2022 (183)
only
Noise: A GJ Open Forec... (1)
only
Range: A GJ Open Forec... (27)
only
Russia-Ukraine Conflict (28)
only
Superforecasting® Work... (40)
only
The Economist: The Wor... (16)
only
The Good Question Chal... (3)
only
The Sky News Challenge (2)
only
Wharton Future of Work... (4)
only
Show more
Tags
Select All
No Tags
(2)
only
Business (91)
only
Society (57)
only
US Politics (49)
only
Security and Conflict (48)
only
Technology (48)
only
Non-US Politics (47)
only
Economic Indicators (41)
only
Foreign Policy (41)
only
Elections and Referenda (40)
only
Leader Entry/Exit (37)
only
US Policy (36)
only
Finance (31)
only
Economic Policy (23)
only
Health (21)
only
Entertainment (9)
only
Environment (9)
only
Sports (8)
only
Open (2)
only
Show more
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will be the total number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Taiwan as of 31 July 2022?
0 Forecasters • 0 Forecasts
Started
Jun 28, 2022 09:00AM UTC
Closing
Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 3.8 million
14%
Between 3.8 million and 4.3 million, inclusive
14%
More than 4.3 million but fewer than 4.8 million
14%
Between 4.8 million and 5.3 million, inclusive
14%
More than 5.3 million but fewer than 5.8 million
14%
Between 5.8 million and 6.3 million, inclusive
14%
More than 6.3 million
14%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of India and the People's Republic of China before 1 January 2023?
50%
Chance
0 Forecasters • 0 Forecasts
Started
Jun 28, 2022 09:00AM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will be the daily reported natural gas in storage in the EU for 31 July 2022?
0 Forecasters • 0 Forecasts
Started
Jun 28, 2022 09:00AM UTC
Closing
Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 650.0 TWh
20%
Between 650.0 TWh and 700.0 TWh, inclusive
20%
More than 700.0 TWh but less than 750.0 TWh
20%
Between 750.0 TWh and 800.0 TWh, inclusive
20%
More than 800.0 TWh
20%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will the closing yield for the US 10-Year Treasury on 1 August 2022?
0 Forecasters • 0 Forecasts
Started
Jun 28, 2022 09:00AM UTC
Closing
Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 2.60
17%
Between 2.60 and 3.00, inclusive
17%
More than 3.00 but less than 3.40
17%
Between 3.40 and 3.80, inclusive
17%
More than 3.80 but less than 4.20
17%
4.20 or higher
17%
Foxes Ask:
Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of a country in the Horn of Africa before 1 April 2023?
85%
Chance
23 Forecasters • 32 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
What will the Italy-Germany 10-year bond spread be on 16 December 2022?
13 Forecasters • 16 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 16, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1.00%
0%
Between 1.00% and 1.50%, inclusive
5%
More than 1.50% but less than 2.00%
17%
Between 2.00% and 2.50%, inclusive
28%
More than 2.50% but less than 3.00%
32%
Between 3.00% and 3.50%, inclusive
15%
More than 3.50%
3%
What will be the market capitalization for the global cryptocurrency market on 2 December 2022, according to CoinMarketCap?
24 Forecasters • 30 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 02, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than $400 billion
1%
Between $400 billion and $800 billion, inclusive
35%
More than $800 billion but less than $1.2 trillion
49%
Between $1.2 trillion and $1.6 trillion, inclusive
15%
More than $1.6 trillion but less than $2.0 trillion
0%
Between $2.0 trillion and $2.4 trillion, inclusive
0%
More than $2.4 trillion
0%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Agency (TSA) screen in December 2022?
18 Forecasters • 25 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 50 million
0%
Between 50 million and 55 million, inclusive
0%
More than 55 million but fewer than 60 million
6%
Between 60 million and 65 million, inclusive
47%
More than 65 million but fewer than 70 million
42%
Between 70 million and 75 million, inclusive
5%
More than 75 million
0%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 8 November 2022, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?
18 Forecasters • 23 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 08, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than $3.00
0%
Between $3.00 and $3.50, inclusive
0%
More than $3.50 but less than $4.00
0%
Between $4.00 and $4.50, inclusive
35%
More than $4.50 but less than $5.00
40%
Between $5.00 and $5.50, inclusive
25%
More than $5.50 but less than $6.00
0%
Between $6.00 and $6.50, inclusive
0%
More than $6.50
0%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
How many US House seats will Republicans win in the 2022 midterm elections?
32 Forecasters • 49 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 207
0%
Between 207 and 217
6%
Between 218 and 228
49%
Between 229 and 239
38%
Between 240 and 250
7%
More than 250
0%
1
2
3
4
5
…
Next ›
Last »
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel