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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will New Zealand's AgResearch report having a net annual financial surplus (pretax) in its 2020/21 fiscal year?

98%

Chance
6 Forecasters • 6 Forecasts
Started May 21, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Columbus asks:

Will US federal legislation implementing or authorizing a mandatory carbon pricing mechanism become law before 1 January 2022?

2%

Chance
57 Forecasters • 74 Forecasts
Started Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

How many vehicles will Tesla deliver to customers in the first half of 2021?

235 Forecasters • 655 Forecasts
Started Nov 27, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 150,000
0%
Between 150,000 and 250,000, inclusive
0%
More than 250,000 but fewer than 350,000
5%
350,000 or more
95%
Cmen asks:

In 2021, will total fire activity in the Amazon exceed the 2020 total count?

50%

Chance
137 Forecasters • 310 Forecasts
Started Nov 13, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Balzac asks:

Will the U.S. consume more energy from renewable sources in May 2021 than it did in May 2019, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)?

97%

Chance
199 Forecasters • 412 Forecasts
Started Nov 13, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Before 1 September 2021, will Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan sign an agreement governing the filling of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) reservoir?

1%

Chance
73 Forecasters • 245 Forecasts
Started Oct 16, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Mack Institute asks:

Before 1 January 2023, how many major automakers will debut a passenger vehicle powered by a solid-state battery?

102 Forecasters • 342 Forecasts
Started Aug 14, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
0
0%
1 or 2
67%
3 or 4
33%
5 or 6
0%
7 or more
0%
SE_Meyer asks:

Between August 2020 and July 2021, will global land and ocean surface temperatures rise 1.5°C or more above the 20th century average for any single month?

1%

Chance
149 Forecasters • 333 Forecasts
Started Jul 31, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Mack Institute asks:

How many new energy vehicles (NEVs) will be sold in China in 2021 and 2022 combined?

73 Forecasters • 338 Forecasts
Started Jul 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 2.2 million
0%
Between 2.2 million and 2.8 million, inclusive
0%
More than 2.8 million but fewer than 3.4 million
2%
Between 3.4 million and 4.0 million, inclusive
31%
More than 4.0 million
67%
The Mack Institute asks:

How many public DC fast charge electric vehicle charging stations will be available in the United States by 31 December 2022?

60 Forecasters • 271 Forecasts
Started Jul 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 5,300
0%
Between 5,300 and 5,700, inclusive
0%
More than 5,700 but fewer than 6,100
0%
Between 6,100 and 6,500, inclusive
0%
More than 6,500
100%
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