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Chrisp, 024_andrew, and belikewater ask:

Which party will win control of the US Senate in the 2022 midterm elections?

56 Forecasters • 71 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Democratic Party
43%
Republican Party
57%
Chrisp, 024_andrew, and belikewater ask:

Which party will win control of the US House of Representatives in the 2022 midterm elections?

57 Forecasters • 60 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Democratic Party
37%
Republican Party
63%

Will legislation amending or repealing Section 230 of the Communications Act of 1934 become law before 1 October 2022?

5%

Chance
28 Forecasters • 34 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
belikewater asks:

Will Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene be reelected for Georgia's 14th Congressional District in 2022?

75%

Chance
28 Forecasters • 34 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
024_andrew asks:

Which party's candidate will win the next presidential election in France?

35 Forecasters • 36 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 24, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
National Rally (Rassemblement National)
8%
The Republic Forward (La République En Marche!)
65%
The Republicans (Les Républicains)
21%
Unbowed France (La France Insoumise)
1%
None of the above
5%

Before 1 July 2022, will the CPTPP Commission decide to commence the accession process for the People's Republic of China (PRC) and/or Taiwan?

30 Forecasters • 58 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Yes, but only for the PRC
12%
Yes, but only for Taiwan
6%
Yes, for both
3%
No
79%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will a cryptocurrency exchange-traded fund (ETF) trade on the NYSE and/or NASDAQ stock exchanges before 31 December 2022?

60%

Chance
40 Forecasters • 52 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will the Government of Ontario cease to require people to show proof of COVID-19 vaccination to use indoor areas of restaurants?

21 Forecasters • 30 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 12, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Before 19 November 2021
0%
Between 19 November 2021 and 31 December 2021
0%
Between 1 January 2022 and 11 February 2022
11%
Not before 12 February 2022
89%
Tim Harford asks:

What will be the value of the shipping-costs benchmark Baltic Exchange Dry Index as of 24 December 2021?

27 Forecasters • 40 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 24, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Lower than 2,500.00
0%
Between 2,500.00 and 4,000.00, inclusive
16%
Higher than 4,000.00 but lower than 5,500.00
38%
Between 5,500.00 and 7,000.00, inclusive
34%
Higher than 7,000.00 but lower than 8,500.00
6%
Between 8,500.00 and 10,000.00, inclusive
6%
Higher than 10,000.00
0%
Tim Harford asks:

As of 15 December 2021, what will be the price of the Dutch TTF Gas Futures contract for January 2022?

24 Forecasters • 45 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Less than €50.000
0%
Between €50.000 and €80.000, inclusive
26%
More than €80.000 but less than €110.000
48%
Between €110.000 and €140.000, inclusive
22%
More than €140.000
4%
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