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The Economist asks:

Will the US FDA approve a drug used to reverse the effects of Alzheimer's disease on the brain and/or approve a vaccine to prevent Alzheimer's disease as of 2035?

80%

Chance
175 Forecasters • 220 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

How many opioid overdoses resulting in death will occur in the US in 2026?

107 Forecasters • 171 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 25,000
0%
Between 25,000 and 40,000, inclusive
12%
More than 40,000 but fewer than 55,000
30%
Between 55,000 and 70,000, inclusive
42%
More than 70,000
16%
The Economist asks:

When will the first human have lived for 180 consecutive Earth days on or under the surface of the moon?

187 Forecasters • 255 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 2030
4%
Between 2030 and 2039
34%
Between 2040 and 2049
35%
Not before 2050
27%
The Economist asks:

How many RNA vaccines and therapeutics for humans will be FDA-approved as of 2031?

131 Forecasters • 209 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 10
6%
Between 10 and 100, inclusive
63%
More than 100 but fewer than 250
26%
Between 250 and 500, inclusive
5%
More than 500
0%
The Economist asks:

Will the Nobel Foundation announce that artificial intelligence has won or would be eligible to win a Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine before 2036?

3%

Chance
185 Forecasters • 242 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will the percentage of adults in US households that are teleworking because of the coronavirus pandemic fall below 18.0%?

88 Forecasters • 279 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2021 09:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 6 July 2021
0%
Between 6 July 2021 and 16 August 2021
0%
Between 17 August 2021 and 27 September 2021
0%
Between 28 September 2021 and 8 November 2021
9%
Not before 9 November 2021
90%

What will be the annual rate of inflation in the US, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), in June 2022?

23 Forecasters • 25 Forecasts
Started Jun 17, 2021 08:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 0.0%
0%
Between 0.0% and 2.0%, inclusive
5%
More than 2.0% but less than 4.0%
55%
Between 4.0% and 6.0%, inclusive
17%
More than 6.0%
0%

When will people in Guangdong no longer be required to show a negative COVID-19 test in order to leave the Chinese province?

37 Forecasters • 152 Forecasts
Started Jun 11, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 12, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 11 July 2021
0%
Between 11 July 2021 and 11 August 2021
0%
Between 12 August 2021 and 11 September 2021
0%
Between 12 September 2021 and 11 October 2021
0%
Not before 12 October 2021
100%
The Economist asks:

When will a new Dutch government be sworn in after the 2021 general election?

50%

Chance
0 Forecasters • 0 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Which team will win the World Cup qualifying match between Nicaragua and St. Lucia?

132 Forecasters • 225 Forecasts
Started Dec 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 24, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Nicaragua
70%
St. Lucia
13%
There will be a draw
15%
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