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024_andrew and The Economist ask:

Before 18 September 2021, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?

1%

Chance
523 Forecasters • 1600 Forecasts
Started Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Adam Grant and Tim Harford ask:

How many total confirmed cases of COVID-19 will the World Health Organization (WHO) report for Brazil as of 31 July 2021?

269 Forecasters • 1102 Forecasts
Started Mar 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 31, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 14.5 million
0%
Between 14.5 million and 16.0 million, inclusive
0%
More than 16.0 million but fewer than 17.5 million
0%
Between 17.5 million and 19.0 million, inclusive
0%
More than 19.0 million
100%
Adam Grant asks:

Before 15 August 2021, will Alexei Navalny be convicted on any fraud charges related to his activities with his non-profit organizations?

8%

Chance
478 Forecasters • 1087 Forecasts
Started Feb 24, 2021 09:30PM UTC
Closing Aug 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Adam Grant asks:

For how many weeks will Adam Grant's "Think Again" be on the New York Times Best Sellers list for Combined Print & E-Book Nonfiction between 21 February 2021 and 11 July 2021?

335 Forecasters • 988 Forecasts
Started Feb 24, 2021 09:30PM UTC
Closing Jul 04, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 4
0%
Between 4 and 8
0%
Between 9 and 13
64%
Between 14 and 18
36%
More than 18
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in the United States before 1 September 2021?

5%

Chance
189 Forecasters • 961 Forecasts
Started Sep 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) and WBHumanoid ask:

Before 1 January 2022, will the United States Olympic Committee announce that it is boycotting the 2022 Winter Olympics?

3%

Chance
267 Forecasters • 936 Forecasts
Started Aug 28, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. Senate expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used?

5%

Chance
163 Forecasters • 855 Forecasts
Started Jul 31, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:

Will the People's Republic of China and the EU sign a Comprehensive Agreement on Investment before 1 January 2022?

228 Forecasters • 781 Forecasts
Started Dec 18, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Yes, and the EU will ratify it before 1 January 2022
1%
Yes, and the EU will not ratify it before 1 January 2022
55%
No
44%

Which team will win the 2021 NBA Championship?

82 Forecasters • 745 Forecasts
Started Feb 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 22, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Brooklyn Nets
0%
Los Angeles Clippers
0%
Los Angeles Lakers
0%
Milwaukee Bucks
26%
Another team
74%
There will not be a 2021 NBA Championship
0%
Adam Grant asks:

Which NHL team will win the 2021 Stanley Cup Final?

127 Forecasters • 730 Forecasts
Started Apr 09, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 09, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Carolina Hurricanes
0%
Colorado Avalanche
0%
Tampa Bay Lightning
88%
Toronto Maple Leafs
0%
Vegas Golden Knights
0%
Another team or no team will win the 2021 Stanley Cup Final
12%
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