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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

As of 1 November 2021, will Waka Kotahi list 321 or more qualifying electrical vehicle (EV) charging stations as available in New Zealand?

0%

Chance
1 Forecaster • 1 Forecasts
Started Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many New York City eviction filings will be reported for 2021?

2 Forecasters • 3 Forecasts
Started Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 60,000
0%
Between 60,000 and 80,000, inclusive
20%
More than 80,000 but fewer than 120,000
30%
Between 120,000 and 240,000, inclusive
1%
More than 240,000
49%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the median price of a house in New Zealand exceed NZ$870,000 in December 2021, according to REINZ?

100%

Chance
3 Forecasters • 4 Forecasts
Started Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Adam Grant asks:

Before 1 September 2021, who will be the first to fly successfully to space, Jeff Bezos or Richard Branson?

6 Forecasters • 6 Forecasts
Started Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Jeff Bezos
0%
Richard Branson
95%
Neither will fly successfully to space before 1 September 2021
5%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will a member of the forces from an African country other than Mozambique be killed in a lethal confrontation in Cabo Delgado before 1 April 2022?

90%

Chance
18 Forecasters • 19 Forecasts
Started Jun 30, 2021 09:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

How many opioid overdoses resulting in death will occur in the US in 2026?

59 Forecasters • 67 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 25,000
0%
Between 25,000 and 40,000, inclusive
14%
More than 40,000 but fewer than 55,000
36%
Between 55,000 and 70,000, inclusive
43%
More than 70,000
7%
The Economist asks:

When will the first human have lived for 180 consecutive Earth days on or under the surface of the moon?

87 Forecasters • 101 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 2030
2%
Between 2030 and 2039
38%
Between 2040 and 2049
30%
Not before 2050
30%
The Economist asks:

How many RNA vaccines and therapeutics for humans will be FDA-approved as of 2031?

67 Forecasters • 78 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 10
6%
Between 10 and 100, inclusive
47%
More than 100 but fewer than 250
38%
Between 250 and 500, inclusive
9%
More than 500
0%
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