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What will be the US domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for the next James Bond film No Time to Die?

109 Forecasters • 444 Forecasts
Started Jun 04, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 08, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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No Time to Die will gross as much or less than Spectre ($70,403,148)
23%
No Time to Die will gross more than Spectre but less than Skyfall ($88,364,714)
35%
No Time to Die will gross as much or more than Skyfall
42%

When will people in Guangdong no longer be required to show a negative COVID-19 test in order to leave the Chinese province?

32 Forecasters • 144 Forecasts
Started Jun 11, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 12, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Before 11 July 2021
0%
Between 11 July 2021 and 11 August 2021
0%
Between 12 August 2021 and 11 September 2021
0%
Between 12 September 2021 and 11 October 2021
0%
Not before 12 October 2021
100%

Will the rate of new daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 per 100k people in Massachusetts be higher on 19 October 2021 than it was on 7 September 2021?

44 Forecasters • 194 Forecasts
Started Sep 08, 2021 04:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 19, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Yes, having first fallen below 18.5 new cases per 100k people in Massachusetts
1%
Yes, but without having first fallen below 18.5 new cases per 100k people in Massachusetts
11%
No, having first risen above 28.5 new cases per 100k people in Massachusetts
88%
No, but without having first risen above 28.5 new cases per 100k people in Massachusetts
0%

What will be the 7-day average number of new cases of COVID-19 in Louisiana for the week ending 20 October 2021?

40 Forecasters • 137 Forecasts
Started Sep 10, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 20, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 1,500
97%
Between 1,500 and 3,000, inclusive
3%
More than 3,000 but fewer than 4,500
0%
Between 4,500 and 6,000, inclusive
0%
More than 6,000 but fewer than 7,500
0%
7,500 or more
0%

What will be the value of the S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index for October 2021?

62 Forecasters • 252 Forecasts
Started Jul 09, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Lower than 250.00000
0%
Between 250.00000 and 260.00000, inclusive
2%
Higher than 260.00000 but lower than 270.00000
49%
Between 270.00000 and 280.00000, inclusive
47%
Higher than 280.00000
2%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Between 5 February 2021 and 31 October 2021, will anti-government protests in Russia result in five or more fatalities?

0%

Chance
124 Forecasters • 427 Forecasts
Started Feb 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Tim Harford asks:

What will be the annualized rate of housing starts for October 2021?

87 Forecasters • 310 Forecasts
Started May 21, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 1.4 million
5%
Between 1.4 million and 1.6 million, inclusive
55%
More than 1.6 million but less than 1.8 million
39%
Between 1.8 million and 2.0 million, inclusive
1%
More than 2.0 million
0%

What will be total OPEC crude oil production for October 2021?

51 Forecasters • 135 Forecasts
Started Jul 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 25,500 tb/d
0%
Between 25,500 tb/d and 27,000 tb/d, inclusive
11%
More than 27,000 tb/d but fewer than 28,500 tb/d
84%
28,500 tb/d or more
5%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

As of 1 November 2021, will Waka Kotahi list 321 or more qualifying electrical vehicle (EV) charging stations as available in New Zealand?

34%

Chance
41 Forecasters • 148 Forecasts
Started Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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