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024_andrew and The Economist ask:

Before 18 September 2021, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?

1%

Chance
539 Forecasters • 1658 Forecasts
Started Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Adam Grant asks:

Before 15 August 2021, will Alexei Navalny be convicted on any fraud charges related to his activities with his non-profit organizations?

5%

Chance
484 Forecasters • 1155 Forecasts
Started Feb 24, 2021 09:30PM UTC
Closing Aug 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in the United States before 1 September 2021?

3%

Chance
192 Forecasters • 1010 Forecasts
Started Sep 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) and WBHumanoid ask:

Before 1 January 2022, will the United States Olympic Committee announce that it is boycotting the 2022 Winter Olympics?

3%

Chance
289 Forecasters • 986 Forecasts
Started Aug 28, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Which team will win the 2021 NBA Championship?

90 Forecasters • 897 Forecasts
Started Feb 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 22, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Brooklyn Nets
0%
Los Angeles Clippers
0%
Los Angeles Lakers
0%
Milwaukee Bucks
72%
Another team
28%
There will not be a 2021 NBA Championship
0%

Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. Senate expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used?

4%

Chance
168 Forecasters • 884 Forecasts
Started Jul 31, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:

Will the People's Republic of China and the EU sign a Comprehensive Agreement on Investment before 1 January 2022?

232 Forecasters • 846 Forecasts
Started Dec 18, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and the EU will ratify it before 1 January 2022
0%
Yes, and the EU will not ratify it before 1 January 2022
37%
No
63%

Before 1 January 2022, will Amazon announce that it will spin off Amazon Web Services (AWS)?

4%

Chance
464 Forecasters • 776 Forecasts
Started Oct 30, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and/or the EU's European Medicines Agency (EMA) approve a COVID-19 vaccine from Chinese companies Sinovac or Sinopharm before 1 September 2021?

253 Forecasters • 725 Forecasts
Started Dec 18, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only by the FDA
0%
Yes, only by the EMA
1%
Yes, by both the FDA and the EMA
0%
No
99%
The Economist asks:

Before 22 July 2021, will Hamas or the Israeli government accuse the other of violating the Gaza ceasefire agreed to on 20 May 2021?

3%

Chance
141 Forecasters • 697 Forecasts
Started May 21, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 22, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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