Status

Type

Sort By

Adam Grant asks:

What will be the delinquency rate on commercial real estate loans (excluding farmland) in the United States in the second quarter of 2021?

291 Forecasters • 904 Forecasts
Started Oct 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 2.00%
96%
Between 2.00% and 4.00%, inclusive
4%
More than 4.00% but less than 6.00%
0%
Between 6.00% and 8.00%, inclusive
0%
More than 8.00%
0%
The Economist asks:

How many vehicles will Tesla deliver to customers in the first half of 2021?

248 Forecasters • 738 Forecasts
Started Nov 27, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 150,000
0%
Between 150,000 and 250,000, inclusive
0%
More than 250,000 but fewer than 350,000
5%
350,000 or more
95%

(Opinion) Do you approve or disapprove of the Iranian nuclear deal?

85%

Chance
560 Forecasters • 701 Forecasts
Started Feb 09, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 18, 2016 06:59AM UTC
&nbspThe Mack Institute asks

Will at least 400 employers participate as partners in the US Department of Energy’s Workplace Charging Challenge in 2016?

8%

Chance
159 Forecasters • 662 Forecasts
Started Apr 22, 2016 02:39AM UTC
Closed Dec 16, 2016 02:53PM UTC
The Mack Institute asks

What total percentage of global vehicle sales in 2022 will be battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs)?

175 Forecasters • 580 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 2.5%
0%
Between 2.5% and 4.5%, inclusive
0%
More than 4.5% but less than 6.5%
24%
Between 6.5% and 8.5%, inclusive
47%
More than 8.5%
29%
The Mack Institute asks:

How many Cybertrucks will Tesla deliver to customers in 2022?

178 Forecasters • 546 Forecasts
Started Aug 21, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 25,000
80%
Between 25,000 and 100,000, inclusive
20%
More than 100,000 but fewer than 175,000
0%
Between 175,000 and 250,000, inclusive
0%
More than 250,000
0%
The Mack Institute asks:

Before 1 January 2023, how many major automakers will sell a self-driving passenger vehicle manufactured without a steering wheel?

255 Forecasters • 487 Forecasts
Started May 22, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
0
99%
1
1%
2
0%
3 or more
0%
The Mack Institute asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will Amazon or a subsidiary use a Zoox autonomous vehicle to deliver a package and/or for a public ride-hailing service?

148 Forecasters • 484 Forecasts
Started Aug 14, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only to deliver a package but not for a public ride-hailing service
30%
Yes, only a for public ride-hailing service but not to deliver a package
0%
Yes, both to deliver a package and for a public ride-hailing service
13%
No
57%
Balzac asks:

Will the U.S. consume more energy from renewable sources in May 2021 than it did in May 2019, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)?

98%

Chance
200 Forecasters • 440 Forecasts
Started Nov 13, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
HFC asks

Will the PITF Worldwide Atrocities Dataset record an event perpetrated by a state actor in Iraq (IRQ) that starts between 1 October 2017 and 31 October 2017?

10%

Chance
102 Forecasters • 438 Forecasts
Started Sep 20, 2017 04:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 01, 2017 03:59AM UTC
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel