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Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
In its 2022 report, will the Board of Trustees for Medicare project the year of asset depletion of the Hospital Insurance trust fund ("HI," aka Medicare Part A) to be 2025 or before?
83%
Chance
10 Forecasters • 10 Forecasts
Started
Oct 01, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Dubai Future Experts Candidates
ask:
Where will Dubai International Airport (DXB) rank among the busiest airports in the world by passenger number for 2022, according to the Airports Council International (ACI)?
19 Forecasters • 25 Forecasts
Started
Oct 01, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
1st to 3rd
11%
4th to 6th
45%
7th to 9th
41%
10th or lower
3%
Dubai Future Experts Candidates
ask:
Before 1 January 2023, will a ride-hailing service open to the public which uses autonomous vehicles be launched and/or tested on public roads in Dubai?
42%
Chance
24 Forecasters • 29 Forecasts
Started
Oct 01, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Dubai Future Experts Candidates
ask:
Before 1 September 2022, will the government of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) officially announce a change to its weekend?
4%
Chance
17 Forecasters • 19 Forecasts
Started
Oct 01, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Dubai Future Experts Candidates
ask:
What will be the average Air Quality Index in Dubai in March 2022?
17 Forecasters • 19 Forecasts
Started
Oct 01, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Mar 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 85.00
0%
Between 85.00 and 95.00, inclusive
8%
More than 95.00 but less than 105.00
63%
Between 105.00 and 115.00, inclusive
27%
More than 115.00
2%
What will be the closing yield for the US 10 yr Treasury on 30 December 2022?
29 Forecasters • 30 Forecasts
Started
Oct 01, 2021 04:00AM UTC
Closing
Dec 30, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 0%
0%
Between 0% and 1%, inclusive
1%
Higher than 1% but lower than 2%
73%
Between 2% and 3%, inclusive
25%
Higher than 3% but lower than 4%
1%
4% or higher
0%
Dubai Future Experts Candidates
ask:
What will be the United Arab Emirates' ranking in the Global Food Security Index for 2022, according to the Economist Intelligence Unit?
25 Forecasters • 33 Forecasts
Started
Sep 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 55th
0%
Between 55th and 41st
4%
Between 40th and 26th
84%
Higher than 25th
12%
Columbus
asks:
Before 1 January 2023, will the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office officially change its name to include the word Taiwan?
2%
Chance
19 Forecasters • 25 Forecasts
Started
Sep 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
In New York State Rifle & Pistol Association, Inc. v. Bruen, will the Supreme Court rule that New York State's denial of applications for concealed-carry licenses for self-defense violated the Second Amendment?
90%
Chance
25 Forecasters • 33 Forecasts
Started
Sep 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Dubai Future Experts Candidates
ask:
How many total international overnight guests will visit Dubai in 2022, according to the Dubai Department of Tourism and Commerce Marketing?
17 Forecasters • 20 Forecasts
Started
Sep 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 10.0 million
0%
Between 10.0 and 12.5 million, inclusive
27%
More than 12.5 but fewer than 15.0 million
42%
Between 15.0 and 17.5 million, inclusive
26%
More than 17.5 million but fewer than 20.0 million
5%
Between 20.0 million and 22.5 million, inclusive
0%
More than 22.5 million
0%
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