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The Economist
and
Adam Grant
ask:
Will the percentage of Global Business Travel Association survey respondents planning to resume international business travel in the near future (next 1-3 months) reach 20% or higher before September 2021?
75%
Chance
107 Forecasters • 113 Forecasts
Started
Feb 24, 2021 09:30PM UTC
Closing
Aug 31, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
What will be the US civilian unemployment rate (U3) for August 2021?
61 Forecasters • 79 Forecasts
Started
Feb 19, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 5.4%
9%
Between 5.4% and 5.9%, inclusive
51%
More than 5.9% but less than 6.6%
33%
Between 6.6% and 7.1%, inclusive
6%
More than 7.1%
1%
What will be the closing yield for the 10-year US Treasury on 16 September 2021?
35 Forecasters • 56 Forecasts
Started
Feb 19, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 16, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1.000
1%
Between 1.000 and 1.500, inclusive
26%
More than 1.500 but less than 2.000
50%
Between 2.000 and 2.500, inclusive
20%
More than 2.500
3%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will the monthly occupancy level of European hotels next reach 50.0% or higher before June 2021, according to Smith Travel Research?
5%
Chance
103 Forecasters • 378 Forecasts
Started
Dec 18, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
Will the IMF estimate for world GDP growth for 2021 be higher in its April 2021 World Economic Outlook report relative to its October 2020 report?
92%
Chance
172 Forecasters • 351 Forecasts
Started
Dec 04, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Apr 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
What will be China's year-on-year GDP growth rate for the second quarter of 2021?
245 Forecasters • 492 Forecasts
Started
Nov 27, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 5.0%
1%
Between 5.0% and 6.0%, inclusive
12%
More than 6.0% but less than 7.0%
42%
Between 7.0% and 8.0%, inclusive
36%
More than 8.0%
9%
Balzac
asks:
Will the U.S. consume more energy from renewable sources in May 2021 than it did in May 2019, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)?
97%
Chance
182 Forecasters • 296 Forecasts
Started
Nov 13, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Foxes Ask:
What will be the annual rate of housing starts for April 2021?
92 Forecasters • 433 Forecasts
Started
Oct 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1.0 million
0%
Between 1.0 million and 1.2 million, inclusive
0%
More than 1.2 million but less than 1.4 million
0%
Between 1.4 million and 1.6 million, inclusive
13%
More than 1.6 million
87%
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