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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 8 January 2022, will Facebook allow Donald Trump to post on Facebook and/or Instagram from any of his verified accounts?

20%

Chance
40 Forecasters • 43 Forecasts
Started May 14, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 08, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the US announce a reduction or elimination of total punitive tariffs on Canadian softwood lumber before 1 September 2021?

62%

Chance
28 Forecasters • 30 Forecasts
Started May 14, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Before 15 July 2021, will it be officially announced that the Tokyo 2020 Summer Olympics will not commence in July 2021?

10%

Chance
70 Forecasters • 80 Forecasts
Started May 14, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Adam Grant asks:

Before 1 September 2021, will Justice Stephen Breyer announce his retirement from the US Supreme Court?

14%

Chance
48 Forecasters • 53 Forecasts
Started May 14, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Adam Grant asks:

What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 13 August 2021, according to FiveThirtyEight?

52 Forecasters • 62 Forecasts
Started May 14, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 13, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 45.0%
3%
Between 45.0% and 50.0%, inclusive
19%
Higher than 50.0% but lower than 55.0%
66%
55.0% or higher
12%
Adam Grant asks:

Which will happen next regarding the price of Dogecoin?

40 Forecasters • 47 Forecasts
Started May 14, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Dogecoin will have a value of $1.00 or more
31%
Dogecoin will have a value of $0.25 or less
15%
Neither will occur before 1 August 2021
54%
Tim Harford asks:

According to The Infinite Dial 2022, what percentage of the US population will have "listened to a podcast in the last month?"

65 Forecasters • 100 Forecasts
Started May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 42%
1%
Between 42% and 44%, inclusive
40%
More than 44% but less than 48%
51%
48% or more
8%
belikewater asks:

When will the World Health Organization (WHO) report 40 million or more confirmed cases of COVID-19 in India?

59 Forecasters • 105 Forecasts
Started May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 July 2021
9%
Between 1 July 2021 and 31 July 2021
56%
Between 1 August 2021 and 31 August 2021
28%
Between 1 September 2021 and 30 September 2021
7%
Not before 1 October 2021
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) between Major League Baseball and the Major League Baseball Players Association be ratified before 1 January 2022?

100%

Chance
14 Forecasters • 19 Forecasts
Started May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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