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Will Ashraf Ghani either flee Afghanistan or cease to be its president before 1 January 2022?

100%

Chance
85 Forecasters • 268 Forecasts
Started Jul 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 15, 2021 01:00PM UTC
Columbus asks:

Who win the next Iranian presidential election?

37 Forecasters • 92 Forecasts
Started May 28, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 18, 2021 10:00PM UTC
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Adam Grant asks:

Before 1 September 2021, will Justice Stephen Breyer announce his retirement from the US Supreme Court?

0%

Chance
172 Forecasters • 416 Forecasts
Started May 14, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will happen next regarding New York Governor Andrew Cuomo?

115 Forecasters • 412 Forecasts
Started Apr 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 10, 2021 04:00PM UTC
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Adam Grant and 024_andrew and ask:

Will Scott Morrison cease to be prime minister of Australia before 1 September 2021?

0%

Chance
206 Forecasters • 451 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Terry-Smith and 024_andrew ask:

Who will win the Democratic Party primary for the New York City mayoral election?

150 Forecasters • 728 Forecasts
Started Mar 19, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 22, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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CJH asks:

Will California hold a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom before 1 January 2022?

94 Forecasters • 508 Forecasts
Started Feb 19, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 15, 2021 03:00AM UTC
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The Economist asks:

Will there be a new prime minister of Italy before 1 September 2021?

100%

Chance
89 Forecasters • 167 Forecasts
Started Jan 29, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 13, 2021 11:00AM UTC

Before 1 July 2021, will presidential and/or parliamentary elections be held in Kyrgyzstan?

35 Forecasters • 221 Forecasts
Started Dec 04, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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The Economist asks:

Who will win the 2021 presidential election in Peru?

104 Forecasters • 437 Forecasts
Started Dec 04, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 07, 2021 01:00AM UTC
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