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What will be the closing yield for the 10-year US Treasury on 16 September 2021?

131 Forecasters • 1030 Forecasts
Started Feb 19, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 16, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 1.000
0%
Between 1.000 and 1.500, inclusive
100%
More than 1.500 but less than 2.000
0%
Between 2.000 and 2.500, inclusive
0%
More than 2.500
0%
024_andrew and The Economist ask:

Before 18 September 2021, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?

0%

Chance
589 Forecasters • 1862 Forecasts
Started Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

When will a new Dutch government be sworn in after the 2021 general election?

128 Forecasters • 873 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Between 18 March 2021 and 17 June 2021
0%
Between 18 June 2021 and 17 September 2021
0%
Not before 18 September 2021
100%
The Economist asks:

How many seats will the United Russia party win in the 2021 Russian State Duma elections?

152 Forecasters • 517 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 19, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 226 seats
0%
Between 226 seats and 299 seats
15%
300 seats or more
81%
Russian State Duma elections will not be held before 20 September 2021
0%
024_andrew asks:

Will the Liberal Party win a majority of seats in the 2021 Canadian parliamentary elections?

3%

Chance
66 Forecasters • 182 Forecasts
Started Aug 20, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 20, 2021 07:01AM UTC
CJH asks:

Following the 2021 German Bundestag elections, which parties will be part of the new government?

115 Forecasters • 670 Forecasts
Started Apr 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 26, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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The CDU but not the Green Party
11%
The Green Party but not the CDU
35%
Both the CDU and the Green Party
42%
Neither the CDU nor the Green Party
0%
No government will be formed before 31 December 2021
12%
The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2021, will Jair Bolsonaro cease to be the president of Brazil?

0%

Chance
274 Forecasters • 713 Forecasts
Started Nov 27, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2021, will any group of Amazon employees in the U.S. vote in the affirmative to form a union?

0%

Chance
199 Forecasters • 658 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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