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024_andrew and The Economist ask:

Before 18 September 2021, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?

0%

Chance
589 Forecasters • 1862 Forecasts
Started Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) and WBHumanoid ask:

Before 1 January 2022, will the United States Olympic Committee announce that it is boycotting the 2022 Winter Olympics?

2%

Chance
350 Forecasters • 1128 Forecasts
Started Aug 28, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Before 1 January 2022, will Amazon announce that it will spin off Amazon Web Services (AWS)?

1%

Chance
627 Forecasters • 1065 Forecasts
Started Oct 30, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

What will be the closing yield for the 10-year US Treasury on 16 September 2021?

131 Forecasters • 1030 Forecasts
Started Feb 19, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 16, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1.000
0%
Between 1.000 and 1.500, inclusive
100%
More than 1.500 but less than 2.000
0%
Between 2.000 and 2.500, inclusive
0%
More than 2.500
0%
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:

Will the People's Republic of China and the EU sign a Comprehensive Agreement on Investment before 1 January 2022?

240 Forecasters • 997 Forecasts
Started Dec 18, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and the EU will ratify it before 1 January 2022
0%
Yes, and the EU will not ratify it before 1 January 2022
18%
No
81%

Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. Senate expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used?

2%

Chance
180 Forecasters • 969 Forecasts
Started Jul 31, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

When will a new Dutch government be sworn in after the 2021 general election?

128 Forecasters • 873 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Between 18 March 2021 and 17 June 2021
0%
Between 18 June 2021 and 17 September 2021
0%
Not before 18 September 2021
100%
Private Superforecasting Workshop and erikbays ask:

Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. officially rejoin the JCPOA?

14%

Chance
143 Forecasters • 763 Forecasts
Started Feb 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Tim Harford asks:

What will Uber's end-of-day market capitalization be on 31 December 2021?

133 Forecasters • 744 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $75 billion
37%
Between $75 billion and $100 billion, inclusive
52%
More than $100 billion but less than $125 billion
11%
Between $125 billion and $150 billion, inclusive
0%
More than $150 billion
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will there be an act of domestic terrorism in the United States resulting in 10 or more fatalities before 1 January 2022?

10%

Chance
189 Forecasters • 718 Forecasts
Started Feb 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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