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024_andrew and The Economist ask:

Before 18 September 2021, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?

2%

Chance
491 Forecasters • 1416 Forecasts
Started Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Adam Grant asks:

When will SpaceX's satellite internet service, Starlink, begin offering commercial service in North America?

378 Forecasters • 1137 Forecasts
Started Aug 14, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Before 1 January 2021
0%
Between 1 January 2021 and 31 March 2021
0%
Between 1 April 2021 and 30 June 2021
2%
Not before 1 July 2021
98%
Tim Harford asks:

When will the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) next screen two million or more travelers in a single day?

187 Forecasters • 1095 Forecasts
Started Sep 04, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Before 1 January 2021
0%
Between 1 January 2021 and 31 March 2021
0%
Between 1 April 2021 and 30 June 2021
63%
Between 1 July 2021 and 30 September 2021
37%
Not before 1 October 2021
0%
Maarten and Adam Grant ask:

Which will happen next regarding the price of a bitcoin?

473 Forecasters • 1028 Forecasts
Started Feb 16, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 30, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Bitcoin will have a price of $25,000 or less
5%
Bitcoin will have a price of $100,000 or more
5%
Neither will occur before 1 July 2021
90%
Adam Grant asks:

Before 15 August 2021, will Alexei Navalny be convicted on any fraud charges related to his activities with his non-profit organizations?

13%

Chance
454 Forecasters • 889 Forecasts
Started Feb 24, 2021 09:30PM UTC
Closing Aug 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in the United States before 1 September 2021?

8%

Chance
180 Forecasters • 858 Forecasts
Started Sep 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
oddball8 asks:

When will 25,000 or more fans next attend a Premier League match?

224 Forecasters • 784 Forecasts
Started Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 23, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Before 19 October 2020
0%
Between 19 October 2020 and 31 December 2020
0%
Between 1 January 2021 and 15 March 2021
0%
Between 16 March 2021 and 23 May 2021
0%
Not before 24 May 2021
100%
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) and WBHumanoid ask:

Before 1 January 2022, will the United States Olympic Committee announce that it is boycotting the 2022 Winter Olympics?

5%

Chance
222 Forecasters • 782 Forecasts
Started Aug 28, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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