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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the US announce a reduction or elimination of total punitive tariffs on Canadian softwood lumber before 1 September 2021?

95%

Chance
9 Forecasters • 9 Forecasts
Started May 14, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
ericbays asks:

Before 16 December 2021, will the Federal Reserve announce it will reduce its monthly quantitative easing bond buying?

16%

Chance
54 Forecasters • 69 Forecasts
Started Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Columbus asks:

Will US federal legislation implementing or authorizing a mandatory carbon pricing mechanism become law before 1 January 2022?

2%

Chance
56 Forecasters • 70 Forecasts
Started Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The Economist and Adam Grant ask:

Will the EU amend its Own Resources Decision to help finance the EU's proposed COVID-19 recovery package before 1 September 2021?

81%

Chance
74 Forecasters • 115 Forecasts
Started Apr 23, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:

What will be the Chinese renminbi's share as a global payments currency in December 2021, according to SWIFT?

62 Forecasters • 135 Forecasts
Started Apr 09, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 2.00%
7%
Between 2.00% and 2.50%, inclusive
66%
More than 2.50% but less than 3.00%
27%
3.00% or more
0%
Adam Grant asks:

Will legislation raising the US federal minimum wage become law before 20 August 2021?

3%

Chance
194 Forecasters • 309 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 20, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 15 December 2021, will the U.S. either formally seek to join or formally begin renegotiations with signatories regarding the TPP or CPTPP?

5%

Chance
93 Forecasters • 281 Forecasts
Started Feb 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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