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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will the FDA and/or CDC recommend that at least some Americans fully vaccinated for COVID-19 receive a COVID-19 vaccine booster shot?

37 Forecasters • 52 Forecasts
Started Jul 23, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 September 2021
37%
Between 1 September 2021 and 31 October 2021
50%
Between 1 November 2021 and 31 December 2021
12%
Not before 1 January 2022
1%

What will Chinese ride-hailing company DiDi's end-of-day market capitalization be on 31 December 2021?

18 Forecasters • 23 Forecasts
Started Jul 23, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Less than $25 billion
13%
Between $25 billion and $40 billion, inclusive
64%
More than $40 billion but less than $55 billion
22%
Between $55 billion and $70 billion, inclusive
1%
More than $70 billion
0%
DiDi will cease to be listed on a US stock exchange before 1 January 2022
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Egypt and Ethiopia before 1 January 2022?

1%

Chance
28 Forecasters • 28 Forecasts
Started Jul 23, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

When will the US Congress agree to a new budget resolution?

13 Forecasters • 17 Forecasts
Started Jul 23, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Before 9 August 2021
0%
Between 9 August 2021 and 30 September 2021
21%
Not before 1 October 2021
79%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) next screen fewer than 1.3 million travelers per day for three consecutive days?

24 Forecasters • 28 Forecasts
Started Jul 23, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Before 1 October 2021
0%
Between 1 October 2021 and 30 November 2021
1%
Between 1 December 2021 and 31 January 2022
3%
Between 1 February 2022 and 31 March 2022
0%
Not before 1 April 2022
96%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will Amazon announce that it will spin off Amazon Web Services (AWS)?

1%

Chance
33 Forecasters • 35 Forecasts
Started Jul 21, 2021 02:28PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Who will win the 2021 presidential election in Chile?

30 Forecasters • 44 Forecasts
Started Jul 21, 2021 02:28PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Gabriel Boric
54%
Sebastián Sichel
38%
Another candidate
7%
There will not be a presidential election in Chile before 1 January 2022
1%
Tim Harford asks:

When will the 7-day average of new COVID-19 cases in the UK next fall below 15,000?

41 Forecasters • 67 Forecasts
Started Jul 21, 2021 02:27PM UTC
Closing Dec 18, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Before 11 September 2021
43%
Between 11 September 2021 and 29 October 2021
34%
Between 30 October 2021 and 17 December 2021
12%
Not before 18 December 2021
11%
Tim Harford asks:

What will be the annual change in the UK's Consumer Prices Index (CPI) for November 2021?

23 Forecasters • 28 Forecasts
Started Jul 21, 2021 02:27PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 1.7%
0%
Between 1.7% and 2.2%, inclusive
0%
More than 2.2% but less than 2.9%
20%
Between 2.9% and 3.4%, inclusive
28%
More than 3.4% but less than 4.1%
26%
4.1% or more
26%

Will Haiti hold a presidential election before 1 January 2022?

28%

Chance
43 Forecasters • 62 Forecasts
Started Jul 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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