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Before 1 July 2022, will the CPTPP Commission decide to commence the accession process for the People's Republic of China (PRC) and/or Taiwan?

10 Forecasters • 12 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, but only for the PRC
0%
Yes, but only for Taiwan
0%
Yes, for both
0%
No
100%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will a cryptocurrency exchange-traded fund (ETF) trade on the NYSE and/or NASDAQ stock exchanges before 31 December 2022?

85%

Chance
10 Forecasters • 10 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will the Government of Ontario cease to require people to show proof of COVID-19 vaccination to use indoor areas of restaurants?

6 Forecasters • 8 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 12, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 19 November 2021
0%
Between 19 November 2021 and 31 December 2021
0%
Between 1 January 2022 and 11 February 2022
18%
Not before 12 February 2022
83%
Tim Harford asks:

What will be the value of the shipping-costs benchmark Baltic Exchange Dry Index as of 24 December 2021?

7 Forecasters • 9 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 24, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 2,500.00
0%
Between 2,500.00 and 4,000.00, inclusive
4%
Higher than 4,000.00 but lower than 5,500.00
22%
Between 5,500.00 and 7,000.00, inclusive
42%
Higher than 7,000.00 but lower than 8,500.00
18%
Between 8,500.00 and 10,000.00, inclusive
14%
Higher than 10,000.00
0%
Tim Harford asks:

As of 15 December 2021, what will be the price of the Dutch TTF Gas Futures contract for January 2022?

7 Forecasters • 7 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Less than €50.000
0%
Between €50.000 and €80.000, inclusive
78%
More than €80.000 but less than €110.000
22%
Between €110.000 and €140.000, inclusive
0%
More than €140.000
0%

What will be Facebook's end-of-day market capitalization on 31 May 2022?

21 Forecasters • 22 Forecasts
Started Oct 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Less than $600 billion
1%
Between $600 billion and $850 billion, inclusive
27%
More than $850 billion but less than $1.10 trillion
47%
Between $1.10 trillion and $1.35 trillion, inclusive
22%
More than $1.35 trillion
3%

Before 1 October 2022, will Facebook announce that Mark Zuckerberg will cease to be the company's sole Chairman or CEO?

4%

Chance
30 Forecasters • 31 Forecasts
Started Oct 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What will be the closing value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average on 31 December 2021?

22 Forecasters • 23 Forecasts
Started Oct 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 30, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 33,000.00
8%
Between 33,000.00 and 34,000.00, inclusive
20%
Higher than 34,000.00 but lower than 35,000.00
30%
Between 35,000.00 and 36,000.00, inclusive
31%
Higher than 36,000.00 but lower than 37,000.00
11%
37,000.00 or more
0%
Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

Where will Dubai International Airport (DXB) rank among the busiest airports in the world by passenger number for 2022, according to the Airports Council International (ACI)?

23 Forecasters • 29 Forecasts
Started Oct 01, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
1st to 3rd
6%
4th to 6th
55%
7th to 9th
39%
10th or lower
0%
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