Status

Type

Sort By

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will a cryptocurrency exchange-traded fund (ETF) trade on the NYSE and/or NASDAQ stock exchanges before 31 December 2022?

85%

Chance
10 Forecasters • 10 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will the Government of Ontario cease to require people to show proof of COVID-19 vaccination to use indoor areas of restaurants?

6 Forecasters • 8 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 12, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 19 November 2021
0%
Between 19 November 2021 and 31 December 2021
0%
Between 1 January 2022 and 11 February 2022
18%
Not before 12 February 2022
83%
Tim Harford asks:

As of 15 December 2021, what will be the price of the Dutch TTF Gas Futures contract for January 2022?

7 Forecasters • 7 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than €50.000
0%
Between €50.000 and €80.000, inclusive
78%
More than €80.000 but less than €110.000
22%
Between €110.000 and €140.000, inclusive
0%
More than €140.000
0%

What will be Facebook's end-of-day market capitalization on 31 May 2022?

21 Forecasters • 22 Forecasts
Started Oct 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $600 billion
1%
Between $600 billion and $850 billion, inclusive
27%
More than $850 billion but less than $1.10 trillion
47%
Between $1.10 trillion and $1.35 trillion, inclusive
22%
More than $1.35 trillion
3%
Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

As of the end of 2021, will total connected capacity of solar panels installed through the Shams Dubai program reach or exceed 400 MW?

21%

Chance
21 Forecasters • 33 Forecasts
Started Sep 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

What will be Rivian's end-of-day market capitalization on its first day of public trading?

28 Forecasters • 58 Forecasts
Started Sep 24, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $50 billion
2%
Between $50 billion and $70 billion, inclusive
31%
More than $70 billion but less than $90 billion
66%
Between $90 billion and $110 billion, inclusive
1%
More than $110 billion
0%
Rivian will not trade publicly before 1 January 2022
0%
Ist191 asks:

Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully before 1 January 2022?

85%

Chance
48 Forecasters • 95 Forecasts
Started Sep 24, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

What percentage of US retail sales will be made online in the fourth quarter of 2022?

45 Forecasters • 60 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 12.5%
0%
Between 12.5% and 13.5%, inclusive
17%
More than 13.5% but less than 14.5%
49%
Between 14.5% and 15.5%, inclusive
24%
More than 15.5%
10%
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel