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The Economist asks:

Will the US FDA approve a drug used to reverse the effects of Alzheimer's disease on the brain and/or approve a vaccine to prevent Alzheimer's disease as of 2035?

80%

Chance
175 Forecasters • 220 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

When will the first human have lived for 180 consecutive Earth days on or under the surface of the moon?

187 Forecasters • 255 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Before 2030
4%
Between 2030 and 2039
34%
Between 2040 and 2049
35%
Not before 2050
27%
The Economist asks:

How many RNA vaccines and therapeutics for humans will be FDA-approved as of 2031?

131 Forecasters • 209 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 10
6%
Between 10 and 100, inclusive
63%
More than 100 but fewer than 250
26%
Between 250 and 500, inclusive
5%
More than 500
0%
The Economist asks:

Will the Nobel Foundation announce that artificial intelligence has won or would be eligible to win a Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine before 2036?

3%

Chance
185 Forecasters • 242 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will the percentage of adults in US households that are teleworking because of the coronavirus pandemic fall below 18.0%?

88 Forecasters • 279 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2021 09:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Before 6 July 2021
0%
Between 6 July 2021 and 16 August 2021
0%
Between 17 August 2021 and 27 September 2021
0%
Between 28 September 2021 and 8 November 2021
9%
Not before 9 November 2021
90%

What will be the closing price of Tesla stock on 22 September 2020?

10 Forecasters • 12 Forecasts
Started Aug 28, 2020 10:45PM UTC
Closed Sep 22, 2020 06:59AM UTC
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Less than $400.00
0%
Between $450.00 and $500.00, inclusive
0%
More than $500.00 but less than $550.00
18%
Between $550.00 and $600.00, inclusive
17%
More than $600.00
28%
The Mack Institute asks

As of 31 December 2019, how many current and on target for production future full-electric vehicle models will EV Rater list?

59 Forecasters • 198 Forecasts
Started Jun 07, 2019 11:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 30, 2019 07:59AM UTC
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Less than 33
0%
Between 33 and 38, inclusive
61%
More than 38 but less than 45
23%
Between 45 and 50, inclusive
0%
More than 50
0%
The Mack Institute asks

Before 1 January 2020, will EV Rater list a full-electric vehicle with a range of 420 miles or more?

10%

Chance
254 Forecasters • 541 Forecasts
Started Mar 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

Before 1 January 2019, will Amazon announce where the Amazon HQ2 is to be located?

77 Forecasters • 159 Forecasts
Started Oct 26, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 13, 2018 06:00PM UTC
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