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Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
When will the Government of Ontario cease to require people to show proof of COVID-19 vaccination to use indoor areas of restaurants?
6 Forecasters • 8 Forecasts
Started
Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Feb 12, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Before 19 November 2021
0%
Between 19 November 2021 and 31 December 2021
0%
Between 1 January 2022 and 11 February 2022
18%
Not before 12 February 2022
83%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
In its 2022 report, will the Board of Trustees for Medicare project the year of asset depletion of the Hospital Insurance trust fund ("HI," aka Medicare Part A) to be 2025 or before?
85%
Chance
13 Forecasters • 13 Forecasts
Started
Oct 01, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Dubai Future Experts Candidates
ask:
Where will Dubai International Airport (DXB) rank among the busiest airports in the world by passenger number for 2022, according to the Airports Council International (ACI)?
23 Forecasters • 29 Forecasts
Started
Oct 01, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
1st to 3rd
6%
4th to 6th
55%
7th to 9th
39%
10th or lower
0%
Dubai Future Experts Candidates
ask:
What will be the average Air Quality Index in Dubai in March 2022?
20 Forecasters • 25 Forecasts
Started
Oct 01, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Mar 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 85.00
0%
Between 85.00 and 95.00, inclusive
10%
More than 95.00 but less than 105.00
55%
Between 105.00 and 115.00, inclusive
34%
More than 115.00
1%
Dubai Future Experts Candidates
ask:
Before 1 February 2022, will the Knowledge and Human Development Authority (KHDA) announce that all teaching and learning at Dubai private schools will cease to be face-to-face only?
9%
Chance
32 Forecasters • 45 Forecasts
Started
Sep 24, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Feb 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
belikewater
asks:
When will the 7-day moving average of daily cases of COVID-19 in the US reported to the CDC next reach or exceed 200,000?
40 Forecasters • 100 Forecasts
Started
Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
May 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 November 2021
0%
Between 1 November 2021 and 31 December 2021
1%
Between 1 January 2022 and 28 February 2022
5%
Between 1 March 2022 and 30 April 2022
4%
Not before 1 May 2022
90%
What will be the 7-day average number of new cases of COVID-19 in Louisiana for the week ending 20 October 2021?
42 Forecasters • 146 Forecasts
Started
Sep 10, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 20, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 1,500
99%
Between 1,500 and 3,000, inclusive
1%
More than 3,000 but fewer than 4,500
0%
Between 4,500 and 6,000, inclusive
0%
More than 6,000 but fewer than 7,500
0%
7,500 or more
0%
Will the rate of new daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 per 100k people in Massachusetts be higher on 19 October 2021 than it was on 7 September 2021?
46 Forecasters • 208 Forecasts
Started
Sep 08, 2021 04:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 19, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Yes, having first fallen below 18.5 new cases per 100k people in Massachusetts
1%
Yes, but without having first fallen below 18.5 new cases per 100k people in Massachusetts
6%
No, having first risen above 28.5 new cases per 100k people in Massachusetts
93%
No, but without having first risen above 28.5 new cases per 100k people in Massachusetts
0%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 18 December 2021, will the United Kingdom's Office for National Statistics (ONS) report that the percentage of working adults who "Worked from home and didn’t travel to work" fell to 15% or lower?
33%
Chance
66 Forecasters • 120 Forecasts
Started
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 17, 2021 08:01AM UTC
asks:
Will legal restrictions on the number of people who can meet indoors be imposed in England before 1 January 2022?
20%
Chance
140 Forecasters • 252 Forecasts
Started
Aug 20, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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