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Question
Will Pete Hegseth be sworn in as US Secretary of Defense before 1 April 2025?
Closing
Apr 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
51
·
83
The Economist
asks:
How many NATO member states will spend 2.0% or more of their GDP on defense in 2025?
Closing
Aug 02, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
156
·
189
The Economist
asks:
Will Min Aung Hlaing or his military successor(s) cease to be the head of government of Myanmar before 1 October 2025?
Closing
Oct 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
124
·
154
The Economist
asks:
In the current conflict in Ukraine, when will Russia and Ukraine announce a ceasefire with an intended indefinite duration or an intended duration of at least 28 days?
Closing
Sep 29, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
216
·
274
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 25 February 2026, will the US accuse Russia of having engaged a US-registered commercial satellite orbiting Earth with a Direct-Ascent Anti-Satellite (DA-ASAT) missile?
Closing
Feb 25, 2026 08:01AM UTC
·
32
·
44
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 June 2025, will a NATO member invoke either Article 4 or Article 5 in response to a putative act or acts of sabotage?
Closing
Jun 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
43
·
73
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 July 2025, will Russia detonate a nuclear device inside of Russian territory or airspace?
Closing
Jul 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
58
·
83
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
When will Russia and Ukraine sign or announce an agreement to end the current conflict in Ukraine?
Closing
Jul 20, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
58
·
105
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will South Korea publicly announce that it has or will provide lethal weapons and/or ammunition to Ukraine before 1 April 2025?
Closing
Apr 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
45
·
75
What will be the closing price for aluminum per metric ton on 2 May 2025, according to Trading Economics?
Closing
May 02, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
17
·
28
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